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Eredivisie
Referee: Serdar Gozubuyuk
Utrecht
S S T S T
1–7
Full-time
PSV Eindhoven
S S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Utrecht PSV Eindhoven
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 75%
67%
83%
Points per game
2,0
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 34%
17%
50%
Average goals
3,3
3,3
Scored
2,3
2,3
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+1,3
This season — Eredivisie · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 70%
60%
80%
Points per game
1,8
2,4
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
60%
40%
Both score Ø 30%
20%
40%
Average goals
2,8
3,0
Scored
1,6
2,0
Conceded
1,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,4
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

50% Possession 50%
15 Shots 12
4 Shots on target 9
4 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 3
1 Offside 4
16 Free kicks against 15
2 Yellow cards 2
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Utrecht 8. · PSV Eindhoven 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Heerenveen 6 4 2 0 +5 14
2 Feyenoord 6 4 0 2 +6 12
3 AZ Alkmaar 5 4 0 1 +5 12
4 PSV Eindhoven 5 4 0 1 +5 12
5 Vitesse 5 3 1 1 +7 10
6 Ajax 5 3 1 1 +6 10
7 Zwolle 5 3 1 1 +2 10
8 Utrecht 5 3 0 2 +2 9
9 VVV Venlo 5 2 2 1 +2 8
10 Heracles 6 2 2 2 -1 8
11 NAC Breda 6 2 1 3 -4 7
12 Den Haag 6 2 1 3 -4 7
13 Groningen 5 1 2 2 -2 5
14 Sparta Rotterdam 6 1 2 3 -5 5
15 Excelsior 5 1 1 3 -4 4
16 Twente 5 1 0 4 -1 3
17 Willem II 6 1 0 5 -8 3
18 Roda 6 0 0 6 -11 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Utrecht PSV Eindhoven
15′
J. Locadia 0–1
1–1 Z. Labyad
21′
Sean Klaiber 🟨
24′
Jean-Christophe Bahebeck 🟨
32′
40′
H. Lozano 1–2
J. Locadia
Half-time 1–2
48′
🟨 Nicolas Isimat-Mirin
49′
J. Locadia 1–3
H. Lozano
G. Kerk 🔁
↦ C. Dessers
61′
L. Görtler 🔁
↦ J. Bahebeck
61′
65′
🟨 Derrick Luckassen
68′
J. Locadia 1–4
J. Hendrix
69′
🔁 P. Rosario
↦ D. Luckassen
G. Troupée 🔁
↦ S. Klaiber
71′
74′
🔁 B. Ramselaar
↦ J. Hendrix
80′
M. van Ginkel 1–5
81′
🔁 S. Bergwijn
↦ G. Pereiro
Giovanni Troupee 🟥
84′
85′
J. Locadia 1–6
90′
S. Bergwijn 1–7
B. Ramselaar
Full-time 1–7

Line-ups

Utrecht

4-3-1-2
1 D. Jensen G
28 E. Braafheid D
14 W. Janssen D
2 M. van der Maarel D
17 S. Klaiber D
18 U. Emanuelson M
10 Z. Labyad F
8 Y. Ayoub M
22 S. van de Streek M
21 J. Bahebeck F
11 C. Dessers F
Bench (8)
7 G. Kerk
27 L. Görtler
20 G. Troupée
3 R. Leeuwin
5 D. Dumić
15 Robin van der Meer
16 N. Marsman
26 M. Willock

Coach: E. ten Hag

PSV Eindhoven

5-3-2
1 J. Zoet G
5 D. Schwaab D
4 S. Arias D
2 N. Isimat-Mirin D
20 J. Brenet D
3 D. Luckassen D
10 M. van Ginkel M
8 J. Hendrix M
19 J. Locadia F
7 G. Pereiro M
11 H. Lozano F
Bench (11)
18 P. Rosario
23 B. Ramselaar
17 S. Bergwijn
13 E. Room
14 S. Lammers
16 D. Rigo
25 A. Maher
29 Albert Gudmundsson
32 K. Paal
50 A. Obispo
31 Y. van Osch

Coach: P. Cocu

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Serdar Gozubuyuk · 131 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
19,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.