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Serie A

Referee: Michael Fabbri

Parma

S S T S S

0–2

Full-time

Lazio

S S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Parma Lazio

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 75%

67%

83%

Points per game

2,0

2,5

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,3

2,5

Scored

1,3

1,7

Conceded

1,0

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+0,8

This season — Serie A · 8/8 matches

Win Ø 57%

50%

63%

Points per game

1,6

1,9

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 44%

38%

50%

Average goals

2,4

2,5

Scored

1,3

1,4

Conceded

1,1

Goal diff per game

+0,1

+0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

34% Possession 66%

4 Shots 18

1 Shots on target 9

1 Blocked shots 3

7 Goalkeeper saves 1

2 Corners 8

1 Offside 2

6 Free kicks against 12

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Parma 9. · Lazio 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	9	8	1	0	+13	25
2	Napoli	9	7	0	2	+8	21
3	Inter	8	5	1	2	+6	16
4	Lazio	8	5	0	3	+2	15
5	Sampdoria	8	4	2	2	+8	14
6	Roma	9	4	2	3	+4	14
7	Fiorentina	8	4	1	3	+8	13
8	Sassuolo	8	4	1	3	+1	13
9	Parma	8	4	1	3	+1	13
10	Genoa	8	4	1	3	-2	13
11	Milan	7	3	3	1	+5	12
12	Torino	8	3	3	2	+0	12
13	Spal	9	4	0	5	-2	12
14	Cagliari	8	2	3	3	-3	9
15	Udinese	9	2	2	5	-5	8
16	Bologna	8	2	1	5	-6	7
17	Atalanta	8	1	3	4	-2	6
18	Empoli	9	1	3	5	-5	6
19	Chievo	8	0	2	6	-13	2
20	Frosinone	9	0	2	7	-18	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	5	4	1	0	+7	13
2	Fiorentina	4	4	0	0	+11	12
3	Napoli	4	4	0	0	+7	12
4	Lazio	4	3	0	1	+4	9
5	Sassuolo	4	3	0	1	+2	9
6	Genoa	4	3	0	1	+2	9
7	Roma	5	2	2	1	+4	8
8	Milan	3	2	1	0	+3	7
9	Sampdoria	4	2	1	1	+3	7
10	Parma	4	2	1	1	+2	7
11	Inter	4	2	1	1	+2	7
12	Cagliari	4	1	3	0	+2	6
13	Spal	4	2	0	2	+0	6
14	Torino	4	2	0	2	-1	6
15	Bologna	4	2	0	2	-1	6
16	Atalanta	4	1	1	2	+2	4
17	Empoli	4	1	1	2	-1	4
18	Udinese	5	1	1	3	-5	4
19	Frosinone	5	0	2	3	-8	2
20	Chievo	4	0	1	3	-4	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	4	4	0	0	+6	12
2	Inter	4	3	0	1	+4	9
3	Napoli	5	3	0	2	+1	9
4	Sampdoria	4	2	1	1	+5	7
5	Torino	4	1	3	0	+1	6
6	Roma	4	2	0	2	+0	6
7	Parma	4	2	0	2	-1	6
8	Lazio	4	2	0	2	-2	6
9	Spal	5	2	0	3	-2	6
10	Milan	4	1	2	1	+2	5
11	Udinese	4	1	1	2	+0	4
12	Sassuolo	4	1	1	2	-1	4
13	Genoa	4	1	1	2	-4	4
14	Cagliari	4	1	0	3	-5	3
15	Empoli	5	0	2	3	-4	2
16	Atalanta	4	0	2	2	-4	2
17	Fiorentina	4	0	1	3	-3	1
18	Bologna	4	0	1	3	-5	1
19	Chievo	4	0	1	3	-9	1
20	Frosinone	4	0	0	4	-10	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.