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Eredivisie

Referee: Martin Van den Kerkhof

Heracles

S S S S T

4–1

Full-time

Groningen

T T T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Heracles Groningen

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

67%

17%

Points per game

2,0

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

100%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

4,8

2,0

Scored

2,3

0,5

Conceded

2,5

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-1,0

This season — Eredivisie · 8/7 matches

Win Ø 39%

63%

14%

Points per game

2,0

0,6

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

88%

29%

Both score Ø 46%

63%

29%

Average goals

4,6

1,9

Scored

2,4

0,4

Conceded

2,3

1,4

Goal diff per game

+0,1

-1,0

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

54% Possession 46%

13 Shots 11

8 Shots on target 4

2 Blocked shots 1

2 Goalkeeper saves 4

3 Corners 1

2 Offside 2

6 Free kicks against 12

0 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Heracles 4. · Groningen 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	9	9	0	0	+33	27
2	Ajax	9	7	1	1	+21	22
3	Feyenoord	8	5	2	1	+7	17
4	Heracles	8	5	1	2	+1	16
5	AZ Alkmaar	9	3	3	3	+3	12
6	Excelsior	9	3	3	3	-2	12
7	Utrecht	9	3	3	3	-2	12
8	VVV Venlo	8	3	2	3	-1	11
9	Den Haag	8	3	2	3	-5	11
10	Willem II	9	2	4	3	-1	10
11	Heerenveen	9	2	4	3	-2	10
12	Zwolle	8	3	1	4	-2	10
13	Vitesse	8	2	3	3	-1	9
14	FC Emmen	9	2	2	5	-14	8
15	For Sittard	8	1	4	3	-4	7
16	De Graafschap	8	2	1	5	-11	7
17	Groningen	7	1	1	5	-7	4
18	NAC Breda	9	1	1	7	-13	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	5	5	0	0	+22	15
2	Heracles	4	4	0	0	+8	12
3	Feyenoord	4	4	0	0	+7	12
4	Ajax	4	3	1	0	+13	10
5	Utrecht	5	3	1	1	+3	10
6	Excelsior	5	2	2	1	+1	8
7	AZ Alkmaar	4	1	3	0	+5	6
8	De Graafschap	5	2	0	3	-4	6
9	Den Haag	4	2	0	2	-5	6
10	Willem II	4	1	2	1	+4	5
11	VVV Venlo	3	1	1	1	+2	4
12	Vitesse	3	1	1	1	+0	4
13	NAC Breda	5	1	1	3	-2	4
14	Zwolle	4	1	0	3	-2	3
15	For Sittard	4	0	2	2	-3	2
16	FC Emmen	4	0	2	2	-4	2
17	Heerenveen	5	0	2	3	-8	2
18	Groningen	4	0	1	3	-4	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	4	4	0	0	+11	12
2	Ajax	5	4	0	1	+8	12
3	Heerenveen	4	2	2	0	+6	8
4	Zwolle	4	2	1	1	+0	7
5	VVV Venlo	5	2	1	2	-3	7
6	AZ Alkmaar	5	2	0	3	-2	6
7	FC Emmen	5	2	0	3	-10	6
8	Den Haag	4	1	2	1	+0	5
9	Feyenoord	4	1	2	1	+0	5
10	For Sittard	4	1	2	1	-1	5
11	Vitesse	5	1	2	2	-1	5
12	Willem II	5	1	2	2	-5	5
13	Excelsior	4	1	1	2	-3	4
14	Heracles	4	1	1	2	-7	4
15	Groningen	3	1	0	2	-3	3
16	Utrecht	4	0	2	2	-5	2
17	De Graafschap	3	0	1	2	-7	1
18	NAC Breda	4	0	0	4	-11	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.