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Eredivisie

Referee: Richard Martens

For Sittard

U S U T U

3–1

Full-time

De Graafschap

U T T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

For Sittard De Graafschap

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

1,0

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

4,5

3,0

Scored

2,0

0,7

Conceded

2,5

2,3

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-1,7

This season — Eredivisie · 8/8 matches

Win Ø 19%

13%

25%

Points per game

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 63%

63%

Both score Ø 63%

88%

38%

Average goals

4,0

2,9

Scored

1,8

0,8

Conceded

2,3

2,1

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-1,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

51% Possession 49%

22 Shots 11

11 Shots on target 3

2 Blocked shots 0

2 Goalkeeper saves 8

4 Corners 2

1 Offside 2

12 Free kicks against 10

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match For Sittard 15. · De Graafschap 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	9	9	0	0	+33	27
2	Ajax	9	7	1	1	+21	22
3	Feyenoord	9	6	2	1	+10	20
4	Heracles	9	6	1	2	+4	19
5	VVV Venlo	9	4	2	3	+1	14
6	AZ Alkmaar	9	3	3	3	+3	12
7	Excelsior	9	3	3	3	-2	12
8	Utrecht	9	3	3	3	-2	12
9	Den Haag	9	3	2	4	-7	11
10	Willem II	9	2	4	3	-1	10
11	Heerenveen	9	2	4	3	-2	10
12	Zwolle	9	3	1	5	-5	10
13	Vitesse	8	2	3	3	-1	9
14	FC Emmen	9	2	2	5	-14	8
15	For Sittard	8	1	4	3	-4	7
16	De Graafschap	8	2	1	5	-11	7
17	Groningen	8	1	1	6	-10	4
18	NAC Breda	9	1	1	7	-13	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	5	5	0	0	+22	15
2	Heracles	5	5	0	0	+11	15
3	Feyenoord	5	5	0	0	+10	15
4	Ajax	4	3	1	0	+13	10
5	Utrecht	5	3	1	1	+3	10
6	Excelsior	5	2	2	1	+1	8
7	VVV Venlo	4	2	1	1	+4	7
8	AZ Alkmaar	4	1	3	0	+5	6
9	De Graafschap	5	2	0	3	-4	6
10	Den Haag	4	2	0	2	-5	6
11	Willem II	4	1	2	1	+4	5
12	Vitesse	3	1	1	1	+0	4
13	NAC Breda	5	1	1	3	-2	4
14	Zwolle	4	1	0	3	-2	3
15	For Sittard	4	0	2	2	-3	2
16	FC Emmen	4	0	2	2	-4	2
17	Heerenveen	5	0	2	3	-8	2
18	Groningen	4	0	1	3	-4	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	4	4	0	0	+11	12
2	Ajax	5	4	0	1	+8	12
3	Heerenveen	4	2	2	0	+6	8
4	VVV Venlo	5	2	1	2	-3	7
5	Zwolle	5	2	1	2	-3	7
6	AZ Alkmaar	5	2	0	3	-2	6
7	FC Emmen	5	2	0	3	-10	6
8	Feyenoord	4	1	2	1	+0	5
9	For Sittard	4	1	2	1	-1	5
10	Vitesse	5	1	2	2	-1	5
11	Den Haag	5	1	2	2	-2	5
12	Willem II	5	1	2	2	-5	5
13	Excelsior	4	1	1	2	-3	4
14	Heracles	4	1	1	2	-7	4
15	Groningen	4	1	0	3	-6	3
16	Utrecht	4	0	2	2	-5	2
17	De Graafschap	3	0	1	2	-7	1
18	NAC Breda	4	0	0	4	-11	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.