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Eredivisie
Referee: Jeroen Manschot
Vitesse
S U U T S
1–1
Full-time
Den Haag
T T S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Vitesse Den Haag
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,8
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
50%
100%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
2,7
4,8
Scored
1,3
1,8
Conceded
1,3
3,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-1,2
This season — Eredivisie · 4/5 matches
Win Ø 33%
25%
40%
Points per game
1,3
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
25%
100%
Both score Ø 53%
25%
80%
Average goals
2,0
5,2
Scored
0,8
2,0
Conceded
1,3
3,2
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-1,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

59% Possession 41%
15 Shots 11
4 Shots on target 3
6 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
3 Corners 6
1 Offside 1
13 Free kicks against 14
2 Yellow cards 2
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Vitesse 13. · Den Haag 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 PSV Eindhoven 5 5 0 0 +18 15
2 Ajax 5 4 1 0 +13 13
3 Heracles 6 4 1 1 +4 13
4 VVV Venlo 6 3 2 1 +4 11
5 Feyenoord 5 3 1 1 +5 10
6 AZ Alkmaar 5 2 2 1 +7 8
7 Willem II 6 2 2 2 +0 8
8 FC Emmen 5 2 1 2 -6 7
9 For Sittard 6 1 3 2 -2 6
10 Heerenveen 6 1 3 2 -3 6
11 Excelsior 6 1 3 2 -3 6
12 Den Haag 5 2 0 3 -6 6
13 Vitesse 4 1 2 1 -2 5
14 Utrecht 5 1 2 2 -3 5
15 De Graafschap 6 1 1 4 -7 4
16 Groningen 4 1 0 3 -4 3
17 Zwolle 5 1 0 4 -5 3
18 NAC Breda 6 1 0 5 -10 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Vitesse Den Haag
1–0 T. Matavž
R. Beerens
18′
Half-time 1–0
Maikel Van der Werff 🟨
58′
65′
A. El Khayati 1–1
B. Linssen 🔁
↦ M. Ødegaard
66′
66′
🔁 T. Goppel
↦ E. Hooi
O. Darfalou 🔁
↦ M. Bero
71′
72′
🟨 Lex Immers
75′
🟨 Dion Malone
83′
🔁 S. Pinas
↦ D. Malone
87′
🔁 M. Lorenzen
↦ T. Necid
Maikel Van der Werff 🟨
90′
Maikel Van der Werff 🟥
90′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Vitesse

4-3-3
1 Eduardo G
28 A. Büttner D
3 M. van der Werff D
8 V. Karavaev D
14 J. Clarke-Salter D
17 T. Serero M
25 N. Foor M
21 M. Bero M
18 M. Ødegaard F
7 R. Beerens F
9 T. Matavž F
Bench (7)
11 B. Linssen
13 O. Darfalou
2 K. Karami
5 M. Clark
10 T. Bruns
22 R. Pasveer
30 D. Doekhi

Coach: L. Slutskiy

Den Haag

4-3-3
1 I. Groothuizen G
8 A. Meijers D
20 N. Kuipers D
5 W. Kanon D
3 G. Troupée D
10 L. Immers M
2 D. Malone M
23 A. El Khayati M
9 T. Necid F
77 E. Hooi F
7 S. Becker F
Bench (10)
26 T. Goppel
19 S. Pinas
33 M. Lorenzen
6 D. Gorter
11 J. Goossens
15 B. Kuipers
18 M. Havekotte
22 R. Zwinkels
25 R. Polley
28 M. van Kins

Coach: A. Groenendijk

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Jeroen Manschot · 94 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
18,1 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.