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Eredivisie

Referee: Pol van Boekel

Groningen

U T S T T

1–3

Full-time

AZ Alkmaar

S S U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Groningen AZ Alkmaar

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,2

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 25%

50%

Average goals

1,7

3,8

Scored

0,8

3,0

Conceded

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+2,2

This season — Eredivisie · 4/5 matches

Win Ø 33%

25%

40%

Points per game

0,8

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 43%

25%

60%

Both score Ø 30%

60%

Average goals

1,5

3,4

Scored

0,3

2,4

Conceded

1,3

1,0

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+1,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

29% Possession 71%

8 Shots 21

3 Shots on target 11

2 Blocked shots 6

8 Goalkeeper saves 2

3 Corners 7

1 Offside 5

8 Free kicks against 11

4 Yellow cards 3

2 Red cards 0

The table before the match Groningen 16. · AZ Alkmaar 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	5	5	0	0	+18	15
2	Ajax	5	4	1	0	+13	13
3	Feyenoord	6	4	1	1	+6	13
4	Heracles	6	4	1	1	+4	13
5	VVV Venlo	6	3	2	1	+4	11
6	AZ Alkmaar	5	2	2	1	+7	8
7	Willem II	6	2	2	2	+0	8
8	Den Haag	6	2	1	3	-6	7
9	FC Emmen	5	2	1	2	-6	7
10	For Sittard	6	1	3	2	-2	6
11	Vitesse	5	1	3	1	-2	6
12	Heerenveen	6	1	3	2	-3	6
13	Excelsior	6	1	3	2	-3	6
14	Utrecht	6	1	2	3	-4	5
15	De Graafschap	6	1	1	4	-7	4
16	Groningen	4	1	0	3	-4	3
17	Zwolle	5	1	0	4	-5	3
18	NAC Breda	6	1	0	5	-10	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Heracles	3	3	0	0	+7	9
2	Feyenoord	3	3	0	0	+6	9
3	Ajax	3	2	1	0	+8	7
4	PSV Eindhoven	2	2	0	0	+9	6
5	AZ Alkmaar	3	1	2	0	+5	5
6	Willem II	3	1	1	1	+4	4
7	VVV Venlo	3	1	1	1	+2	4
8	Utrecht	3	1	1	1	+1	4
9	NAC Breda	3	1	0	2	+0	3
10	De Graafschap	3	1	0	2	+0	3
11	Den Haag	3	1	0	2	-6	3
12	For Sittard	3	0	2	1	-1	2
13	Excelsior	3	0	2	1	-2	2
14	FC Emmen	2	0	1	1	-3	1
15	Heerenveen	3	0	1	2	-4	1
16	Vitesse	2	0	1	1	-4	1
17	Groningen	2	0	0	2	-2	0
18	Zwolle	3	0	0	3	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	3	3	0	0	+9	9
2	VVV Venlo	3	2	1	0	+2	7
3	Ajax	2	2	0	0	+5	6
4	FC Emmen	3	2	0	1	-3	6
5	Vitesse	3	1	2	0	+2	5
6	Heerenveen	3	1	2	0	+1	5
7	Den Haag	3	1	1	1	+0	4
8	Feyenoord	3	1	1	1	+0	4
9	For Sittard	3	1	1	1	-1	4
10	Excelsior	3	1	1	1	-1	4
11	Heracles	3	1	1	1	-3	4
12	Willem II	3	1	1	1	-4	4
13	AZ Alkmaar	2	1	0	1	+2	3
14	Zwolle	2	1	0	1	-1	3
15	Groningen	2	1	0	1	-2	3
16	Utrecht	3	0	1	2	-5	1
17	De Graafschap	3	0	1	2	-7	1
18	NAC Breda	3	0	0	3	-10	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.