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Eredivisie
Referee: Danny Desmond Makkelie
Groningen
T T U T T
1–2
Full-time
PSV Eindhoven
S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Groningen PSV Eindhoven
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
0%
100%
Points per game
0,2
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 34%
50%
17%
Average goals
2,7
4,8
Scored
0,5
4,7
Conceded
2,2
0,2
Goal diff per game
-1,7
+4,5
This season — Eredivisie · 8/9 matches
Win Ø 57%
13%
100%
Points per game
0,5
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 64%
38%
89%
Both score Ø 36%
38%
33%
Average goals
2,3
4,3
Scored
0,5
4,0
Conceded
1,8
0,3
Goal diff per game
-1,3
+3,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

31% Possession 69%
14 Shots 18
2 Shots on target 5
2 Blocked shots 5
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
2 Corners 6
0 Offside 1
14 Free kicks against 9
3 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Groningen 18. · PSV Eindhoven 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 PSV Eindhoven 9 9 0 0 +33 27
2 Ajax 9 7 1 1 +21 22
3 Feyenoord 9 6 2 1 +10 20
4 Heracles 9 6 1 2 +4 19
5 VVV Venlo 10 4 3 3 +1 15
6 AZ Alkmaar 9 3 3 3 +3 12
7 Excelsior 9 3 3 3 -2 12
8 Utrecht 9 3 3 3 -2 12
9 Den Haag 10 3 3 4 -7 12
10 Willem II 9 2 4 3 -1 10
11 Heerenveen 9 2 4 3 -2 10
12 For Sittard 9 2 4 3 -2 10
13 Zwolle 9 3 1 5 -5 10
14 Vitesse 8 2 3 3 -1 9
15 FC Emmen 10 2 3 5 -14 9
16 De Graafschap 9 2 1 6 -13 7
17 NAC Breda 10 1 2 7 -13 5
18 Groningen 8 1 1 6 -10 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Groningen PSV Eindhoven
1–0 S. Memišević
42′
Tim Handwerker 🟨
44′
Half-time 1–1
46′
D. Malen 1–1
D. Dumfries
Ludovit Reis 🟨
61′
67′
🔁 É. Gutiérrez
↦ J. Hendrix
Jannik Pohl 🟨
80′
80′
🔁 Mauro Júnior
↦ G. Pereiro
T. Freriks 🔁
↦ J. Pohl
84′
86′
D. Dumfries 1–2
89′
🔁 M. Verreth
↦ D. Malen
C. Antuna 🔁
↦ M. Cassierra
91′
A. Mendes Moreira 🔁
↦ T. Handwerker
92′
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Groningen

4-3-1-2
1 S. Padt G
4 M. te Wierik D
5 S. Memišević D
21 D. Warmerdam D
42 D. Zeefuik D
29 T. Handwerker D
24 J. Chabot D
7 R. Doan M
6 L. Reis M
11 J. Pohl F
9 M. Cassierra F
Bench (7)
33 T. Freriks
18 A. Mendes Moreira
14 C. Antuna
36 T. van de Looi
23 A. Hrustic
31 J. Hoekstra
16 K. Begois

Coach: D. Buijs

PSV Eindhoven

4-3-3
1 J. Zoet G
5 D. Schwaab D
4 N. Viergever D
6 Angeliño D
22 D. Dumfries D
8 J. Hendrix M
7 G. Pereiro M
18 P. Rosario M
9 L. de Jong F
11 H. Lozano F
14 D. Malen F
Bench (11)
25 É. Gutiérrez
47 Mauro Júnior
29 M. Verreth
23 B. Ramselaar
31 Y. van Osch
2 N. Isimat-Mirin
13 E. Room
3 A. Behich
44 A. Ćatić
20 T. Sainsbury
19 C. Gakpo

Coach: M. van Bommel

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Danny Desmond Makkelie · 111 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,7 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
18,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.