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Pro League
Referee: Wim Smet
Club Brugge
T S U S S
1–2
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Club Brugge Royal Excel Mouscron
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,2
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,3
2,3
Scored
1,7
1,8
Conceded
0,7
0,5
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+1,3
This season — Pro League · 19/29 matches
Win Ø 46%
58%
34%
Points per game
1,9
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
68%
52%
Both score Ø 51%
53%
48%
Average goals
3,1
2,2
Scored
2,1
1,1
Conceded
1,0
1,1
Goal diff per game
+1,1
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

5 Corners 5
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Club Brugge 8. · Royal Excel Mouscron 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 St Truiden 29 12 11 6 +13 47
2 Charleroi 29 12 6 11 +1 42
3 Genk 19 12 5 2 +22 41
4 Antwerp 19 13 1 5 +12 40
5 Kortrijk 29 11 7 11 +0 40
6 Standard 19 11 6 2 +18 39
7 Gent 19 12 2 5 +17 38
8 Club Brugge 19 11 4 4 +21 37
9 Anderlecht 19 11 4 4 +14 37
10 Royal Excel Mouscron 29 10 7 12 -1 37
11 Waregem 29 8 8 13 -11 32
12 Eupen 29 9 2 18 -24 29
13 Cercle Brugge 29 7 7 15 -22 28
14 Beveren 29 5 12 12 -12 27
15 Oostende 29 6 9 14 -21 27
16 Lokeren 29 4 5 20 -27 17

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Club Brugge Royal Excel Mouscron
33′
Selim Amallah 0–1
Half-time 0–1
Emmanuel Dennis 🔁
↦ Thibault Vlietinck
46′
Arnaut Groeneveld 🔁
↦ Krépin Diatta
69′
1–1 Siebe Schrijvers
72′
77′
🔁 Giorgos Galitsios
↦ Noë Dussenne
79′
🟨 Mergim Vojvoda
81′
Nemanja Antonov 1–2
82′
🔁 Frantzdy Pierrot
↦ Benjamin van Durmen
Jelle Vossen 🔁
↦ Mats Rits
87′
89′
🔁 Dimitri Mohamed
↦ Selim Amallah
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Club Brugge

3-5-2
22 Ethan Horvath G
5 Benoît Poulain D
44 Brandon Mechele D
24 Stefano Denswil D
19 Thibault Vlietinck F
25 Ruud Vormer M
20 Hans Vanaken M
26 Mats Rits M
11 Krépin Diatta F
16 Siebe Schrijvers F
7 Wesley F
Bench (9)
1 Karlo Letica
21 Dion Cools
35 Saulo Decarli
6 Sofyan Amrabat
9 Jelle Vossen
47 Arnaut Groeneveld
42 Emmanuel Dennis
80 Loïs Openda
10 Kaveh Rezaei

Coach: I. Leko

Royal Excel Mouscron

4-3-3
33 Jean Butez G
27 Mergim Vojvoda D
2 Noë Dussenne D
31 Bruno Godeau D
3 Nemanja Antonov D
8 Sidney Friede M
30 Benjamin van Durmen M
22 Marko Bakić M
21 Manuel Benson M
14 Taiwo Awoniyi F
10 Selim Amallah M
Bench (7)
90 Vaso Vasic
25 Christophe Diedhiou
13 Giorgos Galitsios
23 Frantzdy Pierrot
26 Bilal Chibani
77 Mićo Kuzmanović
11 Dimitri Mohamed

Coach: B. Storck

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Wim Smet · 67 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
15,7 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.