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Primeira Liga
Referee: Fabio Jose Costa Verissimo
Boavista
U T U T T
1–2
Full-time
Guimaraes
T T U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Boavista Guimaraes
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,8
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 17%
0%
33%
Both score Ø 25%
0%
50%
Average goals
1,0
2,5
Scored
0,3
0,8
Conceded
0,7
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,8
This season — Primeira Liga · 10/10 matches
Win Ø 20%
20%
20%
Points per game
0,9
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
20%
30%
Both score Ø 25%
10%
40%
Average goals
1,6
2,1
Scored
0,5
0,7
Conceded
1,1
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,6
-0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

47% Possession 53%
14 Shots 15
5 Shots on target 4
1 Blocked shots 5
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
7 Corners 5
2 Offside 0
0 Free kicks against 0
4 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Boavista 14. · Guimaraes 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sp Lisbon 10 8 2 0 +14 26
2 Porto 9 6 3 0 +14 21
3 Sp Braga 10 6 2 2 +13 20
4 Benfica 9 6 0 3 +15 18
5 Rio Ave 10 5 3 2 +5 18
6 Vitoria Setubal 11 3 6 2 +2 15
7 Nacional 11 4 2 5 +0 14
8 Estoril 10 4 2 4 -3 14
9 Pacos Ferreira 10 4 2 4 -3 14
10 Maritimo 11 4 2 5 -4 14
11 Belenenses 10 3 4 3 -10 13
12 Arouca 10 2 6 2 +0 12
13 Guimaraes 10 2 4 4 -7 10
14 Boavista 10 2 3 5 -6 9
15 U. Madeira 9 1 4 4 -3 7
16 Moreirense 10 1 4 5 -7 7
17 Academica 10 1 3 6 -11 6
18 Tondela 10 1 2 7 -9 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Boavista Guimaraes
23′
🟨 Cafú
Tengarrinha 🟨
28′
29′
🟨 Thibang Phete
1–0 Douglas Abner
42′
Luisinho 🟨
43′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 Otavinho
↦ T. Phete
Idris Mandiang 🟨
58′
59′
🔁 Alexandre Silva
↦ Tómané
60′
🟨 Henrique Dourado
Samuel Inkoom 🟨
65′
66′
Henrique Dourado 1–1
69′
🔁 Valente
↦ Licá
A. Bukia 🔁
↦ Zé Manuel
70′
R. Gabriel 🔁
↦ I. Mandiang
72′
U. Nwofor 🔁
↦ Douglas Abner
77′
89′
Cafú 1–2
90′
🟨 Miguel Silva
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Boavista

1 Mika G
5 Paulo Vinicius D
23 Nuno Henrique D
2 S. Inkoom D
6 Anderson Correia D
8 Tengarrinha M
27 Anderson Carvalho M
42 I. Mandiang M
70 Zé Manuel M
77 Luisinho
15 Douglas Abner
Bench (7)
95 A. Bukia
4 R. Gabriel
9 U. Nwofor
94 Philipe Sampaio
12 Gideão
88 Samú
17 Renato Santos

Guimaraes

56 João Miguel G
3 Josué Sá D
76 Bruno Gaspar D
15 João Afonso D
93 Dalbert Henrique D
99 B. Saré M
26 Cafú M
94 T. Phete M
11 Licá F
89 Henrique Dourado F
9 Tómané F
Bench (7)
52 Otavinho
45 Alexandre Silva
7 Valente
1 Douglas Jesus
6 Moreno
18 Ricardo Gomes
70 Tozé

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Fabio Jose Costa Verissimo · 80 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,9 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,48 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.