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Bundesliga

Referee: Tobias Welz

FC Ingolstadt 04

U U U T S

1–0

Full-time

M'gladbach

S T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

FC Ingolstadt 04 M'gladbach

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

1,2

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

50%

100%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

3,0

3,7

Scored

1,7

2,7

Conceded

1,3

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+1,7

This season — Bundesliga · 28/28 matches

Win Ø 41%

32%

50%

Points per game

1,3

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 54%

25%

82%

Both score Ø 49%

36%

61%

Average goals

2,0

3,7

Scored

0,9

2,1

Conceded

1,1

1,6

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,5

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

52% Possession 48%

15 Shots 7

4 Shots on target 3

6 Blocked shots 0

3 Goalkeeper saves 2

5 Corners 3

2 Offside 2

0 Free kicks against 0

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match FC Ingolstadt 04 9. · M'gladbach 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	28	23	3	2	+53	72
2	Dortmund	28	21	4	3	+39	67
3	Hertha	29	14	7	8	+5	49
4	M'gladbach	28	14	3	11	+15	45
5	Leverkusen	28	13	6	9	+9	45
6	Mainz	28	13	5	10	+4	44
7	Schalke 04	28	13	5	10	+1	44
8	Wolfsburg	28	10	8	10	+2	38
9	FC Ingolstadt 04	28	9	9	10	-5	36
10	Hamburg	28	9	7	12	-4	34
11	FC Koln	28	8	10	10	-6	34
12	Stuttgart	28	9	6	13	-11	33
13	Darmstadt	28	6	11	11	-13	29
14	Hoffenheim	28	6	10	12	-13	28
15	Werder Bremen	28	7	7	14	-19	28
16	Augsburg	28	6	9	13	-12	27
17	Ein Frankfurt	28	6	9	13	-15	27
18	Hannover	29	5	3	21	-30	18

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	14	13	0	1	+38	39
2	Dortmund	14	12	2	0	+28	38
3	M'gladbach	15	11	1	3	+21	34
4	Hertha	15	9	5	1	+12	32
5	Wolfsburg	14	8	4	2	+15	28
6	Schalke 04	14	8	3	3	+5	27
7	Mainz	14	8	2	4	+6	26
8	Leverkusen	14	7	3	4	+9	24
9	FC Ingolstadt 04	14	6	4	4	+4	22
10	Stuttgart	14	6	1	7	-3	19
11	Ein Frankfurt	14	4	6	4	-2	18
12	Hoffenheim	14	4	6	4	-2	18
13	Hamburg	14	4	4	6	-2	16
14	FC Koln	14	4	4	6	-3	16
15	Augsburg	14	2	5	7	-8	11
16	Werder Bremen	13	2	5	6	-8	11
17	Darmstadt	14	1	6	7	-13	9
18	Hannover	14	2	0	12	-16	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	14	10	3	1	+15	33
2	Dortmund	14	9	2	3	+11	29
3	Leverkusen	14	6	3	5	+0	21
4	Darmstadt	14	5	5	4	+0	20
5	Mainz	14	5	3	6	-2	18
6	Hamburg	14	5	3	6	-2	18
7	FC Koln	14	4	6	4	-3	18
8	Schalke 04	14	5	2	7	-4	17
9	Hertha	14	5	2	7	-7	17
10	Werder Bremen	15	5	2	8	-11	17
11	Augsburg	14	4	4	6	-4	16
12	Stuttgart	14	3	5	6	-8	14
13	FC Ingolstadt 04	14	3	5	6	-9	14
14	Hannover	15	3	3	9	-14	12
15	M'gladbach	13	3	2	8	-6	11
16	Hoffenheim	14	2	4	8	-11	10
17	Wolfsburg	14	2	4	8	-13	10
18	Ein Frankfurt	14	2	3	9	-13	9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.