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Primeira Liga
Referee: Artur Soares Dias
Guimaraes
T S T U S
1–3
Full-time
Benfica
T S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Guimaraes Benfica
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,7
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,0
2,5
Scored
1,7
1,7
Conceded
1,3
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,8
This season — Primeira Liga · 10/10 matches
Win Ø 55%
40%
70%
Points per game
1,4
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
70%
50%
Both score Ø 55%
50%
60%
Average goals
3,1
2,7
Scored
1,3
2,0
Conceded
1,8
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+1,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

43% Possession 57%
9 Shots 8
1 Shots on target 5
3 Blocked shots 0
2 Goalkeeper saves 0
7 Corners 5
2 Offside 1
18 Free kicks against 23
0 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Guimaraes 8. · Benfica 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Porto 11 10 1 0 +26 31
2 Sp Lisbon 10 8 2 0 +17 26
3 Benfica 10 7 2 1 +13 23
4 Maritimo 11 7 1 3 +4 22
5 Sp Braga 10 7 0 3 +8 21
6 Rio Ave 11 5 2 4 +3 17
7 Belenenses 11 5 1 5 -2 16
8 Guimaraes 10 4 2 4 -5 14
9 Boavista 11 4 1 6 -2 13
10 Tondela 11 3 3 5 -1 12
11 Portimonense 11 3 3 5 -3 12
12 Pacos Ferreira 11 3 3 5 -8 12
13 Feirense 11 3 2 6 -4 11
14 Chaves 11 3 2 6 -5 11
15 Vitoria Setubal 11 2 4 5 -3 10
16 Aves 11 2 3 6 -8 9
17 Moreirense 11 1 4 6 -12 7
18 Estoril 11 2 0 9 -18 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Guimaraes Benfica
22′
Jonas 0–1
André Almeida
Half-time 0–1
49′
🟨 Ljubomir Fejsa
57′
🟨 Mile Svilar
64′
🔁 A. Samaris
↦ Pizzi
Rafael Martins 🔁
↦ Rafael Miranda
66′
69′
🟨 Luisão
Moreno 🔁
↦ Jubal
70′
76′
A. Samaris 0–2
Jonas
79′
E. Salvio 0–3
Diogo Gonçalves
S. Rincón 🔁
↦ Héldon
81′
81′
🔁 R. Jiménez
↦ L. Fejsa
85′
🔁 F. Cervi
↦ Jonas
1–3 Rafael Martins
J. Tallo
86′
90′
🟨 André Almeida
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Guimaraes

4-2-3-1
56 João Miguel G
15 V. García D
33 Jubal D
4 Marcos Valente D
53 G. Konan D
5 Rafael Miranda M
93 G. Celis M
7 Francisco Ramos M
10 Héldon M
49 J. Tallo F
11 Raphinha M
Bench (7)
99 Rafael Martins
6 Moreno
19 S. Rincón
20 João Aurélio
25 A. Wakaso
36 Miguel Oliveira
71 Sturgeon

Coach: Pedro Martins

Benfica

4-2-3-1
1 M. Svilar G
4 Luisão D
19 Eliseu D
34 André Almeida D
66 Rúben Dias D
5 L. Fejsa M
21 Pizzi M
18 E. Salvio F
20 F. Krovinović M
84 Diogo Gonçalves F
10 Jonas F
Bench (7)
7 A. Samaris
9 R. Jiménez
22 F. Cervi
8 Douglas Pereira
14 H. Seferović
30 Bruno Varela
33 Jardel

Coach: Rui Vitória

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Artur Soares Dias · 181 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.