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Serie A

Referee: Daniele Chiffi

Atalanta

U T S S T

1–1

Full-time

Spal

U T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Atalanta Spal

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,3

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

2,8

Scored

1,5

1,0

Conceded

1,3

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,8

This season — Serie A · 11/11 matches

Win Ø 27%

36%

18%

Points per game

1,4

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

64%

36%

Both score Ø 59%

73%

45%

Average goals

3,0

2,5

Scored

1,6

0,8

Conceded

1,4

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-0,9

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

57% Possession 43%

9 Shots 11

3 Shots on target 3

3 Blocked shots 4

2 Goalkeeper saves 2

3 Corners 3

4 Offside 0

14 Free kicks against 13

0 Yellow cards 2

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Atalanta 11. · Spal 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Napoli	12	10	2	0	+24	32
2	Juventus	12	10	1	1	+24	31
3	Inter	12	9	3	0	+14	30
4	Lazio	11	9	1	1	+19	28
5	Roma	11	9	0	2	+14	27
6	Sampdoria	11	7	2	2	+11	23
7	Torino	12	4	5	3	-2	17
8	Fiorentina	12	5	1	6	+4	16
9	Milan	11	5	1	5	+0	16
10	Chievo	12	4	4	4	-5	16
11	Atalanta	11	4	3	4	+3	15
12	Bologna	12	4	2	6	-4	14
13	Udinese	11	4	0	7	-4	12
14	Cagliari	12	4	0	8	-10	12
15	Crotone	12	3	3	6	-12	12
16	Spal	11	2	2	7	-10	8
17	Sassuolo	11	2	2	7	-13	8
18	Genoa	12	1	3	8	-9	6
19	Verona	12	1	3	8	-18	6
20	Benevento	12	0	0	12	-26	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	7	6	0	1	+14	18
2	Inter	6	5	1	0	+8	16
3	Sampdoria	5	5	0	0	+13	15
4	Napoli	5	4	1	0	+13	13
5	Atalanta	6	4	1	1	+8	13
6	Roma	6	4	0	2	+4	12
7	Lazio	5	3	1	1	+8	10
8	Fiorentina	6	3	1	2	+2	10
9	Milan	6	3	1	2	+0	10
10	Udinese	6	3	0	3	+0	9
11	Cagliari	6	3	0	3	-1	9
12	Torino	5	2	2	1	+3	8
13	Chievo	6	2	2	2	-2	8
14	Crotone	6	2	2	2	-2	8
15	Spal	6	2	1	3	-2	7
16	Bologna	6	1	2	3	-4	5
17	Verona	6	1	1	4	-10	4
18	Sassuolo	5	0	2	3	-4	2
19	Genoa	6	0	1	5	-7	1
20	Benevento	6	0	0	6	-14	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Napoli	7	6	1	0	+11	19
2	Lazio	6	6	0	0	+11	18
3	Roma	5	5	0	0	+10	15
4	Inter	6	4	2	0	+6	14
5	Juventus	5	4	1	0	+10	13
6	Bologna	6	3	0	3	+0	9
7	Torino	7	2	3	2	-5	9
8	Sampdoria	6	2	2	2	-2	8
9	Chievo	6	2	2	2	-3	8
10	Fiorentina	6	2	0	4	+2	6
11	Milan	5	2	0	3	+0	6
12	Sassuolo	6	2	0	4	-9	6
13	Genoa	6	1	2	3	-2	5
14	Crotone	6	1	1	4	-10	4
15	Udinese	5	1	0	4	-4	3
16	Cagliari	6	1	0	5	-9	3
17	Atalanta	5	0	2	3	-5	2
18	Verona	6	0	2	4	-8	2
19	Spal	5	0	1	4	-8	1
20	Benevento	6	0	0	6	-12	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.