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Primeira Liga

Referee: Carlos Xistra

Benfica

S S U S T

2–0

Full-time

Pacos Ferreira

U T U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Benfica Pacos Ferreira

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

67%

17%

Points per game

2,2

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

3,0

2,2

Scored

2,2

1,0

Conceded

0,8

1,2

Goal diff per game

+1,3

-0,2

This season — Primeira Liga · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

67%

17%

Points per game

2,2

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

3,0

2,2

Scored

2,2

1,0

Conceded

0,8

1,2

Goal diff per game

+1,3

-0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

70% Possession 30%

27 Shots 6

9 Shots on target 2

10 Blocked shots 1

2 Goalkeeper saves 6

11 Corners 2

2 Offside 2

11 Free kicks against 12

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Benfica 4. · Pacos Ferreira 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Porto	7	7	0	0	+16	21
2	Sp Lisbon	7	6	1	0	+12	19
3	Maritimo	6	5	0	1	+4	15
4	Benfica	6	4	1	1	+8	13
5	Rio Ave	6	3	1	2	+2	10
6	Sp Braga	6	3	0	3	-1	9
7	Feirense	6	2	2	2	+1	8
8	Chaves	7	2	1	4	-2	7
9	Belenenses	6	2	1	3	-5	7
10	Guimaraes	6	2	1	3	-7	7
11	Vitoria Setubal	6	1	3	2	+0	6
12	Pacos Ferreira	6	1	3	2	-1	6
13	Boavista	6	2	0	4	-2	6
14	Portimonense	7	2	0	5	-6	6
15	Estoril	7	2	0	5	-6	6
16	Moreirense	7	1	3	3	-7	6
17	Tondela	6	1	2	3	-1	5
18	Aves	6	1	1	4	-5	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Porto	4	4	0	0	+13	12
2	Maritimo	4	4	0	0	+4	12
3	Benfica	3	3	0	0	+8	9
4	Sp Lisbon	3	3	0	0	+4	9
5	Rio Ave	4	2	1	1	+2	7
6	Belenenses	3	2	1	0	+2	7
7	Portimonense	3	2	0	1	+1	6
8	Boavista	3	2	0	1	+1	6
9	Sp Braga	3	2	0	1	+1	6
10	Guimaraes	3	2	0	1	-3	6
11	Vitoria Setubal	3	1	2	0	+2	5
12	Pacos Ferreira	3	1	2	0	+1	5
13	Feirense	3	1	1	1	+0	4
14	Chaves	3	1	0	2	+0	3
15	Estoril	3	1	0	2	-1	3
16	Aves	3	1	0	2	-3	3
17	Moreirense	3	0	2	1	-3	2
18	Tondela	3	0	1	2	-2	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sp Lisbon	4	3	1	0	+8	10
2	Porto	3	3	0	0	+3	9
3	Tondela	3	1	1	1	+1	4
4	Feirense	3	1	1	1	+1	4
5	Benfica	3	1	1	1	+0	4
6	Chaves	4	1	1	2	-2	4
7	Moreirense	4	1	1	2	-4	4
8	Maritimo	2	1	0	1	+0	3
9	Rio Ave	2	1	0	1	+0	3
10	Sp Braga	3	1	0	2	-2	3
11	Estoril	4	1	0	3	-5	3
12	Aves	3	0	1	2	-2	1
13	Pacos Ferreira	3	0	1	2	-2	1
14	Vitoria Setubal	3	0	1	2	-2	1
15	Guimaraes	3	0	1	2	-4	1
16	Boavista	3	0	0	3	-3	0
17	Portimonense	4	0	0	4	-7	0
18	Belenenses	3	0	0	3	-7	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.