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Primeira Liga

Referee: Vasco Santos

Chaves

S S U T T

4–2

Full-time

Pacos Ferreira

S T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Chaves Pacos Ferreira

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,2

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,8

3,3

Scored

1,2

1,3

Conceded

1,7

2,0

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-0,7

This season — Primeira Liga · 10/10 matches

Win Ø 25%

20%

30%

Points per game

0,8

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 45%

40%

50%

Both score Ø 45%

40%

50%

Average goals

2,7

2,8

Scored

1,0

1,1

Conceded

1,7

Goal diff per game

-0,7

-0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

58% Possession 42%

14 Shots 13

7 Shots on target 6

1 Blocked shots 0

4 Goalkeeper saves 3

7 Corners 4

1 Offside 5

9 Free kicks against 18

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Chaves 16. · Pacos Ferreira 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Porto	11	10	1	0	+26	31
2	Sp Lisbon	10	8	2	0	+17	26
3	Benfica	10	7	2	1	+13	23
4	Sp Braga	10	7	0	3	+8	21
5	Maritimo	10	6	1	3	+3	19
6	Rio Ave	11	5	2	4	+3	17
7	Belenenses	11	5	1	5	-2	16
8	Guimaraes	10	4	2	4	-5	14
9	Boavista	11	4	1	6	-2	13
10	Tondela	11	3	3	5	-1	12
11	Portimonense	11	3	3	5	-3	12
12	Pacos Ferreira	10	3	3	4	-6	12
13	Feirense	10	3	2	5	-3	11
14	Vitoria Setubal	11	2	4	5	-3	10
15	Aves	11	2	3	6	-8	9
16	Chaves	10	2	2	6	-7	8
17	Moreirense	11	1	4	6	-12	7
18	Estoril	11	2	0	9	-18	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Porto	6	6	0	0	+20	18
2	Maritimo	6	5	1	0	+6	16
3	Benfica	5	5	0	0	+11	15
4	Sp Lisbon	5	4	1	0	+8	13
5	Belenenses	5	4	1	0	+6	13
6	Sp Braga	5	4	0	1	+8	12
7	Pacos Ferreira	5	3	2	0	+3	11
8	Portimonense	5	3	1	1	+4	10
9	Rio Ave	6	3	1	2	+2	10
10	Guimaraes	5	3	1	1	-2	10
11	Vitoria Setubal	6	2	3	1	+3	9
12	Boavista	5	3	0	2	-1	9
13	Tondela	6	2	1	3	+0	7
14	Feirense	5	2	1	2	-2	7
15	Chaves	4	1	1	2	+0	4
16	Aves	6	1	1	4	-7	4
17	Moreirense	5	0	3	2	-4	3
18	Estoril	5	1	0	4	-6	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sp Lisbon	5	4	1	0	+9	13
2	Porto	5	4	1	0	+6	13
3	Sp Braga	5	3	0	2	+0	9
4	Benfica	5	2	2	1	+2	8
5	Rio Ave	5	2	1	2	+1	7
6	Aves	5	1	2	2	-1	5
7	Tondela	5	1	2	2	-1	5
8	Boavista	6	1	1	4	-1	4
9	Feirense	5	1	1	3	-1	4
10	Guimaraes	5	1	1	3	-3	4
11	Chaves	6	1	1	4	-7	4
12	Moreirense	6	1	1	4	-8	4
13	Maritimo	4	1	0	3	-3	3
14	Belenenses	6	1	0	5	-8	3
15	Estoril	6	1	0	5	-12	3
16	Portimonense	6	0	2	4	-7	2
17	Vitoria Setubal	5	0	1	4	-6	1
18	Pacos Ferreira	5	0	1	4	-9	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.