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Primeira Liga
Referee: Luis Miguel Branco Godinho
Porto
T S S S S
2–1
Full-time
Feirense
T U T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Porto Feirense
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
83%
33%
Points per game
2,5
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
17%
50%
Both score Ø 34%
17%
50%
Average goals
2,3
2,8
Scored
1,8
1,2
Conceded
0,5
1,7
Goal diff per game
+1,3
-0,5
This season — Primeira Liga · 32/32 matches
Win Ø 55%
81%
28%
Points per game
2,6
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 52%
56%
47%
Both score Ø 43%
38%
47%
Average goals
3,0
2,4
Scored
2,5
1,0
Conceded
0,5
1,4
Goal diff per game
+1,9
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

69% Possession 31%
18 Shots 8
5 Shots on target 1
2 Blocked shots 2
0 Goalkeeper saves 3
3 Corners 5
1 Offside 0
11 Free kicks against 16
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Porto 1. · Feirense 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Porto 32 26 4 2 +62 82
2 Benfica 33 24 6 3 +57 78
3 Sp Lisbon 33 24 6 3 +40 78
4 Sp Braga 33 24 3 6 +46 75
5 Rio Ave 32 14 5 13 -3 47
6 Chaves 33 12 8 13 -9 44
7 Maritimo 33 12 8 13 -14 44
8 Guimaraes 33 13 4 16 -10 43
9 Boavista 33 12 6 15 -10 42
10 Tondela 33 10 8 15 -8 38
11 Belenenses 33 9 10 14 -12 37
12 Portimonense 33 9 8 16 -10 35
13 Aves 33 9 7 17 -14 34
14 Moreirense 33 8 8 17 -20 32
15 Feirense 32 9 3 20 -15 30
16 Vitoria Setubal 33 6 11 16 -24 29
17 Pacos Ferreira 32 7 8 17 -24 29
18 Estoril 33 8 5 20 -32 29

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Porto Feirense
1–0 Sérgio Oliveira
37′
41′
🟨 Rafael Crivellaro
Half-time 1–0
Hernâni 🔁
↦ Otavinho
46′
V. Aboubakar 🔁
↦ Tiquinho
56′
58′
🔁 Hugo Seco
↦ Paraiba
2–0 Y. Brahimi
V. Aboubakar
59′
Óliver Torres 🔁
↦ D. Reyes
70′
72′
🟨 Antonio Briseño
81′
🔁 José Valencia
↦ Diga
82′
🔁 A. Karamanos
↦ João Silva
Sérgio Oliveira 🟨
85′
90′
🟨 Hugo Seco
91′
José Valencia 2–1
A. Kakuba
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Porto

4-4-2
1 Casillas G
5 Ivan Marcano D
23 D. Reyes D
13 Alex Telles D
21 Ricardo Pereira D
16 H. Herrera M
27 Sérgio Oliveira M
25 Otavinho M
8 Y. Brahimi M
29 Tiquinho F
11 M. Marega F
Bench (7)
7 Hernâni
9 V. Aboubakar
10 Óliver Torres
2 M. Pereira
14 Gonçalo Paciência
17 Jesús Corona
26 Vaná

Coach: Sérgio Conceição

Feirense

4-2-3-1
22 Caio Secco G
4 A. Briseño D
3 A. Kakuba D
32 Flavio D
2 Diga D
17 Cris M
50 Crivellaro M
8 Tiago Silva M
19 João Silva F
12 Paraiba M
7 Luís Machado M
Bench (7)
77 Hugo Seco
20 José Valencia
21 A. Karamanos
13 Luís Rocha
14 Bruno Nascimento
30 Luís Aurélio
37 M. Miskiewicz

Coach: Nuno Santos

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Luis Miguel Branco Godinho · 45 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
35,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.