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Serie A

Referee: Marco Di Bello

Cagliari

T S T U T

0–1

Full-time

Roma

T U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cagliari Roma

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

0,7

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,7

2,5

Scored

0,7

1,7

Conceded

2,0

0,8

Goal diff per game

-1,3

+0,8

This season — Serie A · 35/35 matches

Win Ø 43%

26%

60%

Points per game

0,9

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

60%

40%

Both score Ø 46%

49%

43%

Average goals

2,6

2,5

Scored

0,9

1,7

Conceded

1,7

0,8

Goal diff per game

-0,8

+0,9

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

44% Possession 56%

12 Shots 9

2 Shots on target 1

6 Blocked shots 2

0 Goalkeeper saves 3

9 Corners 3

4 Offside 3

20 Free kicks against 9

4 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Cagliari 18. · Roma 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	36	29	4	3	+61	91
2	Napoli	36	26	7	3	+45	85
3	Lazio	36	21	8	7	+41	71
4	Roma	35	21	7	7	+31	70
5	Inter	36	19	12	5	+36	69
6	Milan	36	17	9	10	+10	60
7	Atalanta	36	16	11	9	+19	59
8	Fiorentina	36	16	9	11	+13	57
9	Sampdoria	36	16	6	14	+0	54
10	Torino	36	11	15	10	+6	48
11	Genoa	36	11	8	17	-8	41
12	Sassuolo	36	10	10	16	-30	40
13	Bologna	36	11	6	19	-10	39
14	Spal	36	7	14	15	-21	35
15	Udinese	36	10	4	22	-17	34
16	Crotone	36	9	7	20	-25	34
17	Chievo	36	8	10	18	-25	34
18	Cagliari	35	9	6	20	-29	33
19	Verona	36	7	4	25	-46	25
20	Benevento	36	5	3	28	-51	18

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	18	15	1	2	+36	46
2	Napoli	18	13	3	2	+24	42
3	Sampdoria	18	12	3	3	+18	39
4	Inter	18	11	5	2	+22	38
5	Roma	18	11	1	6	+12	34
6	Lazio	18	9	5	4	+25	32
7	Atalanta	18	9	5	4	+12	32
8	Milan	18	9	5	4	+5	32
9	Fiorentina	18	8	5	5	+6	29
10	Torino	18	7	6	5	+10	27
11	Chievo	18	6	6	6	-3	24
12	Crotone	18	6	5	7	-2	23
13	Bologna	18	6	4	8	+0	22
14	Genoa	18	6	3	9	-3	21
15	Spal	18	4	8	6	-9	20
16	Sassuolo	18	4	7	7	-10	19
17	Cagliari	17	5	3	9	-12	18
18	Udinese	18	5	2	11	-7	17
19	Verona	18	5	1	12	-20	16
20	Benevento	18	4	2	12	-18	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	18	14	3	1	+25	45
2	Napoli	18	13	4	1	+21	43
3	Lazio	18	12	3	3	+16	39
4	Roma	17	10	6	1	+19	36
5	Inter	18	8	7	3	+14	31
6	Fiorentina	18	8	4	6	+7	28
7	Milan	18	8	4	6	+5	28
8	Atalanta	18	7	6	5	+7	27
9	Torino	18	4	9	5	-4	21
10	Sassuolo	18	6	3	9	-20	21
11	Genoa	18	5	5	8	-5	20
12	Udinese	18	5	2	11	-10	17
13	Bologna	18	5	2	11	-10	17
14	Spal	18	3	6	9	-12	15
15	Cagliari	18	4	3	11	-17	15
16	Sampdoria	18	4	3	11	-18	15
17	Crotone	18	3	2	13	-23	11
18	Chievo	18	2	4	12	-22	10
19	Verona	18	2	3	13	-26	9
20	Benevento	18	1	1	16	-33	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.