Premier League
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Man City
Huddersfield
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Man City
|
35 | 30 | 3 | 2 | +76 | 93 |
| 2 |
Man United
|
36 | 24 | 5 | 7 | +39 | 77 |
| 3 |
Liverpool
|
36 | 20 | 12 | 4 | +43 | 72 |
| 4 |
Tottenham
|
36 | 21 | 8 | 7 | +36 | 71 |
| 5 |
Chelsea
|
35 | 20 | 6 | 9 | +26 | 66 |
| 6 |
Arsenal
|
35 | 17 | 6 | 12 | +19 | 57 |
| 7 |
Burnley
|
36 | 14 | 12 | 10 | +3 | 54 |
| 8 |
Everton
|
37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | -12 | 49 |
| 9 |
Leicester
|
36 | 11 | 11 | 14 | -5 | 44 |
| 10 |
Newcastle
|
36 | 11 | 8 | 17 | -10 | 41 |
| 11 |
Crystal Palace
|
37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | -12 | 41 |
| 12 |
Bournemouth
|
37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | -17 | 41 |
| 13 |
Watford
|
37 | 11 | 8 | 18 | -19 | 41 |
| 14 |
Brighton
|
36 | 9 | 13 | 14 | -14 | 40 |
| 15 |
West Ham
|
36 | 9 | 11 | 16 | -22 | 38 |
| 16 |
Huddersfield
|
35 | 9 | 8 | 18 | -29 | 35 |
| 17 |
Southampton
|
36 | 6 | 15 | 15 | -19 | 33 |
| 18 |
Swansea
|
36 | 8 | 9 | 19 | -26 | 33 |
| 19 |
West Brom
|
37 | 6 | 13 | 18 | -23 | 31 |
| 20 |
Stoke
|
37 | 6 | 12 | 19 | -34 | 30 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Ederson Moraes
G
K. Walker
D
J. Stones
D
K. De Bruyne
M
L. Sané
F
Gabriel Jesus
F
Coach: Guardiola
F. Hadergjonaj
M
Coach: D. Wagner
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
West Ham
Man City
Man City
Swansea
Tottenham
Man City
Man City
Man United
Everton
Man City
Mike Dean · 154 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.