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Primeira Liga

Referee: Manuel Mota da Silva

Tondela

S T T T U

1–1

Full-time

Rio Ave

S U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Tondela Rio Ave

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,2

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

3,2

2,2

Scored

1,5

1,2

Conceded

1,7

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,2

This season — Primeira Liga · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

0,5

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,5

3,0

Scored

1,0

1,5

Conceded

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

38% Possession 62%

12 Shots 14

5 Shots on target 4

1 Blocked shots 5

3 Goalkeeper saves 4

3 Corners 7

0 Offside 1

23 Free kicks against 6

2 Yellow cards 2

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Tondela 16. · Rio Ave 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	3	2	1	0	+3	7
2	Sp Lisbon	3	2	1	0	+3	7
3	Feirense	3	2	1	0	+3	7
4	Porto	3	2	0	1	+5	6
5	Maritimo	3	2	0	1	+0	6
6	Sp Braga	2	1	1	0	+2	4
7	Boavista	3	1	1	1	+0	4
8	Vitoria Setubal	3	1	0	2	+0	3
9	Belenenses	2	1	0	1	+0	3
10	Rio Ave	2	1	0	1	+0	3
11	Guimaraes	3	1	0	2	-1	3
12	Moreirense	2	1	0	1	-1	3
13	Nacional	3	1	0	2	-2	3
14	Chaves	3	1	0	2	-4	3
15	Santa Clara	3	0	2	1	-1	2
16	Tondela	2	0	1	1	-1	1
17	Aves	2	0	1	1	-2	1
18	Portimonense	3	0	1	2	-4	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Maritimo	2	2	0	0	+2	6
2	Feirense	2	1	1	0	+2	4
3	Benfica	2	1	1	0	+1	4
4	Porto	2	1	0	1	+4	3
5	Sp Braga	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Rio Ave	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	Chaves	1	1	0	0	+2	3
8	Vitoria Setubal	2	1	0	1	+1	3
9	Sp Lisbon	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Santa Clara	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Aves	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Portimonense	2	0	1	1	-2	1
13	Belenenses	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Nacional	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Tondela	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Guimaraes	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Moreirense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
18	Boavista	1	0	0	1	-2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sp Lisbon	2	1	1	0	+2	4
2	Boavista	2	1	1	0	+2	4
3	Benfica	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Porto	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Moreirense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Belenenses	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Feirense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Guimaraes	2	1	0	1	+0	3
9	Nacional	2	1	0	1	-1	3
10	Sp Braga	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Tondela	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Santa Clara	2	0	1	1	-1	1
13	Vitoria Setubal	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Maritimo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
15	Portimonense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
16	Aves	1	0	0	1	-2	0
17	Rio Ave	1	0	0	1	-2	0
18	Chaves	2	0	0	2	-6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.