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Primeira Liga
Referee: Manuel Oliveira
1–0
Full-time
Maritimo
U T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Vitoria Setubal Maritimo
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
1,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
0%
50%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
1,3
2,5
Scored
0,5
1,2
Conceded
0,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,2
This season — Primeira Liga · 27/27 matches
Win Ø 28%
22%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 30%
30%
30%
Both score Ø 37%
44%
30%
Average goals
1,8
1,9
Scored
0,8
0,7
Conceded
1,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

42% Possession 58%
12 Shots 5
4 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 0
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
8 Corners 4
3 Offside 1
20 Free kicks against 20
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Vitoria Setubal 14. · Maritimo 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Porto 28 22 3 3 +41 69
2 Benfica 27 21 3 3 +50 66
3 Sp Lisbon 27 18 4 5 +25 58
4 Sp Braga 28 18 4 6 +18 58
5 Moreirense 28 15 3 10 +0 48
6 Guimaraes 28 13 6 9 +11 45
7 Belenenses 28 9 12 7 +4 39
8 Santa Clara 28 10 6 12 +0 36
9 Rio Ave 27 8 8 11 -4 32
10 Portimonense 27 9 5 13 -7 32
11 Aves 28 8 6 14 -11 30
12 Maritimo 27 9 3 15 -14 30
13 Boavista 28 8 5 15 -14 29
14 Vitoria Setubal 27 6 10 11 -6 28
15 Nacional 28 7 6 15 -28 27
16 Tondela 27 6 7 14 -12 25
17 Chaves 28 6 6 16 -23 24
18 Feirense 27 2 9 16 -30 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Vitoria Setubal Maritimo
Giorgi Makaridze 🟨
30′
1–0 J. Cádiz
Éber
37′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 Jean Cleber
↦ Pedro Pelágio
46′
🔁 J. Correa
↦ L. Barrera
Zequinha 🔁
↦ Nuno Valente
60′
José Semedo 🟨
70′
Allef 🔁
↦ Hildeberto Pereira
71′
77′
🟨 Douglas Grolli
80′
🔁 Rodrigo Pinho
↦ Douglas Grolli
Savio 🔁
↦ Rúben Micael
84′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Vitoria Setubal

4-3-1-2
90 G. Makaridze G
5 Mano D
13 Vasco Fernandes D
4 Artur Jorge D
16 André Sousa M
29 Semedo M
15 Rúben Micael M
8 Nuno Valente M
10 Éber M
20 Hildeberto Pereira M
99 J. Cádiz F
Bench (7)
87 Zequinha
33 Allef
77 Savio
2 Cascardo
26 K. Sekgota
24 Bruno Pires
1 Cristiano

Coach: Sandro Mendes

Maritimo

4-4-2
94 Charles G
5 Zainadine Junior D
3 Douglas Grolli D
25 Renê D
45 Fábio China D
60 Pedro Pelágio M
12 Edgar Costa F
23 L. Barrera F
46 Getterson F
95 Joel F
31 Nanu D
Bench (7)
15 Jean Cleber
8 J. Correa
9 Rodrigo Pinho
27 Fabricio Baiano
6 Lucas Áfrico
1 A. Abedzadeh
2 Bebeto

Coach: Petit

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Manuel Oliveira · 149 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
27,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,32 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.