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Pro League
Referee: Frederik Geldhof
0–2
Full-time
Gent
S T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Royal Excel Mouscron Gent
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
0,8
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,5
2,7
Scored
1,2
1,7
Conceded
1,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,7
This season — Pro League · 14/9 matches
Win Ø 44%
21%
67%
Points per game
0,8
2,1
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
71%
44%
Both score Ø 54%
64%
44%
Average goals
2,9
2,8
Scored
1,1
1,8
Conceded
1,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,6
+0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

2 Corners 8
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Royal Excel Mouscron 14. · Gent 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Waregem 10 9 0 1 +16 27
2 Kortrijk 15 6 6 3 +4 24
3 Genk 15 7 3 5 +1 24
4 Standard 14 6 4 4 +9 22
5 Club Brugge 10 6 2 2 +10 20
6 Oostende 10 6 2 2 +9 20
7 Anderlecht 10 6 2 2 +9 20
8 Gent 9 6 1 2 +7 19
9 Mechelen 14 5 4 5 +2 19
10 Charleroi 9 4 4 1 +3 16
11 Eupen 15 4 3 8 -12 15
12 Beveren 15 3 5 7 -11 14
13 Lokeren 14 3 3 8 -8 12
14 Royal Excel Mouscron 14 3 2 9 -9 11
15 St Truiden 15 2 4 9 -9 10
16 Westerlo 15 2 3 10 -21 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Royal Excel Mouscron Gent
40′
J. Perbet 0–1
L. Nielsen
Half-time 0–1
49′
🟨 Thomas Foket
Aristote Nkaka 🟨
64′
Jeremy Huyghebaert 🟨
65′
R. Ferber 🔁
↦ F. Marković
67′
76′
🔁 K. Coulibaly
↦ J. Perbet
84′
🔁 K. Saief
↦ T. Matton
84′
🔁 B. Dejaegere
↦ D. Miličević
I. Feruz 🔁
↦ M. Vojvoda
85′
87′
K. Saief 0–2
Simon Diedhiou 🟨
90′
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Royal Excel Mouscron

21 M. Delač G
24 N. Gulan M
28 J. Huyghebaert D
34 S. Simič D
29 T. Peyre D
27 M. Vojvoda D
26 A. Nkaka D
10 Trézéguet M
4 K. Essikal M
7 F. Marković M
20 S. Diédhiou F
Bench (7)
9 R. Ferber
99 I. Feruz
6 C. Manea
8 F. Olinga
11 D. Mohamed
15 D. Graovac
33 T. Defourmy

Coach: G. De Boeck

Gent

20 Y. Thoelen G
21 N. Asare D
13 S. Mitrović D
23 L. Nielsen D
77 D. Miličević F
8 T. Matton M
10 Renato Neto M
17 H. Van der Bruggen M
32 T. Foket M
24 J. Perbet F
27 M. Simon F
Bench (7)
7 K. Coulibaly
15 K. Saief
19 B. Dejaegere
1 J. Rinne
16 R. Schoofs
40 I. Rabiu
55 R. Gershon

Coach: H. Vanhaezebrouck

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Frederik Geldhof · 27 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
16,6 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.