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Pro League
Referee: Sebastien Delferiere
Gent
T S T S S
3–0
Full-time
Kortrijk
U U S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Gent Kortrijk
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 58%
33%
83%
Average goals
2,5
3,0
Scored
1,5
1,7
Conceded
1,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,3
This season — Pro League · 10/15 matches
Win Ø 55%
70%
40%
Points per game
2,2
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
40%
67%
Both score Ø 64%
40%
87%
Average goals
2,7
3,2
Scored
1,8
1,7
Conceded
0,9
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,9
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

60% Possession 40%
10 Shots 2
7 Shots on target 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
7 Corners 1
5 Offside 1
16 Free kicks against 10
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Gent 5. · Kortrijk 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Waregem 10 9 0 1 +16 27
2 Kortrijk 15 6 6 3 +4 24
3 Genk 15 7 3 5 +1 24
4 Club Brugge 11 7 2 2 +15 23
5 Gent 10 7 1 2 +9 22
6 Standard 15 6 4 5 +8 22
7 Charleroi 11 6 4 1 +5 22
8 Mechelen 16 6 4 6 -2 22
9 Oostende 10 6 2 2 +9 20
10 Anderlecht 10 6 2 2 +9 20
11 Eupen 16 4 4 8 -12 16
12 Lokeren 16 4 3 9 -8 15
13 Beveren 16 3 5 8 -12 14
14 Royal Excel Mouscron 15 3 2 10 -11 11
15 St Truiden 16 2 4 10 -10 10
16 Westerlo 16 2 4 10 -21 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Gent Kortrijk
1–0 J. Perbet
D. Miličević
30′
Half-time 2–0
2–0 Renato Neto
54′
69′
🟨 Samuel Gigot
B. Dejaegere 🔁
↦ D. Miličević
69′
69′
🔁 A. Totovytsky
↦ S. De Smet
78′
🔁 K. D'Haene
↦ H. Kage
M. Simon 🔁
↦ T. Matton
79′
K. Saief 🔁
↦ N. Asare
82′
3–0 K. Saief
B. Dejaegere
82′
84′
🔁 A. Papazoglou
↦ I. Saadi
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Gent

3-4-3
20 Y. Thoelen G
21 N. Asare D
55 R. Gershon D
13 S. Mitrović D
23 L. Nielsen D
77 D. Miličević F
8 T. Matton M
10 Renato Neto M
17 H. Van der Bruggen M
32 T. Foket M
24 J. Perbet F
Bench (7)
19 B. Dejaegere
27 M. Simon
15 K. Saief
1 J. Rinne
7 K. Coulibaly
16 R. Schoofs
44 A. Esiti

Coach: H. Vanhaezebrouck

Kortrijk

4-2-3-1
28 T. Kaminski G
23 Joãozinho D
15 R. Métanire D
6 D. Goutas D
20 S. Gigot D
17 G. De Mets M
10 H. Kage F
26 E. Rolland M
7 S. De Smet F
27 I. Ouali M
11 I. Saadi F
Bench (7)
29 A. Totovytsky
30 K. D'Haene
9 A. Papazoglou
8 N. Pavlović
13 M. Sifakis
24 L. Rougeaux
88 S. Sarr

Coach: B. Van Lancker

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Sebastien Delferiere · 41 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
15,9 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.