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Pro League
Referee: Bart Vertenten
3–5
Full-time
Genk
U T S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Antwerp Genk
Last 6 — all competitions · 2/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
2,0
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
0%
67%
Both score Ø 25%
0%
50%
Average goals
0,5
3,3
Scored
0,5
2,2
Conceded
0,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+1,0
This season — Pro League · 2/1 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
2,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
0%
100%
Both score Ø 50%
0%
100%
Average goals
0,5
6,0
Scored
0,5
3,0
Conceded
0,0
3,0
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–4

54% Possession 46%
8 Shots 11
4 Shots on target 9
5 Goalkeeper saves 1
5 Corners 3
1 Offside 1
13 Free kicks against 12
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Club Brugge 3 3 0 0 +7 9
2 Waregem 3 2 0 1 +6 6
3 Charleroi 2 2 0 0 +4 6
4 Kortrijk 3 2 0 1 +1 6
5 Royal Excel Mouscron 3 2 0 1 +0 6
6 Beveren 3 1 2 0 +3 5
7 Anderlecht 2 1 1 0 +1 4
8 Antwerp 2 1 1 0 +1 4
9 Mechelen 3 0 3 0 +0 3
10 St Truiden 2 1 0 1 -1 3
11 Gent 3 0 1 2 -2 1
12 Oostende 3 0 0 3 -5 0
13 Lokeren 3 0 0 3 -7 0
14 Eupen 3 0 0 3 -8 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Antwerp Genk
8′
⚽ M. Samatta 0–1
J. Mæhle
16′
⚽ L. Trossard 0–2
T. Buffel
21′
⚽ S. Schrijvers 0–3
1–3 J. Dequevy ⚽
O. Oularé
24′
41′
⚽ M. Samatta 1–4
S. Schrijvers
Half-time 1–4
Reda Jaadi 🟨
54′
59′
⚽ D. Arslanagic 2–4
own goal
W. Owusu 🔁
↦ O. Oularé
62′
68′
🔁 M. Ingvartsen
↦ M. Samatta
Z. Randriambololona 🔁
↦ I. Koné
75′
77′
🔁 B. Heynen
↦ R. Malinovskiy
3–4 W. Owusu ⚽
79′
4–4 D. Arslanagic ⚽
R. Jaadi
81′
S. Limbombe 🔁
↦ J. Dequevy
82′
82′
🔁 Pozuelo
↦ T. Buffel
90′
🟨 Danny Vukovic
Full-time 4–4

Line-ups

Antwerp

4-2-3-1
1 S. Bolat G
23 F. Duplus D
15 D. Arslanagic D
25 A. Corryn D
21 D. Batubinsika D
38 F. Haroun M
11 J. Dequevy F
20 G. Hairemans M
6 I. Koné M
7 R. Jaadi F
58 O. Oularé F
Bench (7)
19 W. Owusu
27 Z. Randriambololona
9 S. Limbombe
8 Ivo Rodrigues
10 F. Camus
12 A. Ježina
17 Mamoutou N'Diaye

Coach: L. Bölöni

Genk

4-2-3-1
1 D. Vuković G
2 J. Brabec D
15 O. Colley D
5 A. Khammas D
19 T. Buffel F
18 R. Malinovskiy M
25 S. Berge M
31 J. Mæhle M
14 L. Trossard F
10 M. Samatta F
22 S. Schrijvers F
Bench (7)
9 M. Ingvartsen
28 B. Heynen
24 Pozuelo
3 B. Nastić
29 M. Benson
30 N. Jackers
45 J. Aidoo

Coach: A. Stuivenberg

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
O2,5 ✓
–
O3,5 ✓
–
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
BLS nei
–

Referee

Bart Vertenten · 43 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
18,7 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.