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Serie A
Referee: Massimiliano Irrati
Verona
T U T T U
0–3
Full-time
Lazio
U S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Verona Lazio
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,3
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 58%
33%
83%
Average goals
2,8
3,7
Scored
0,5
1,8
Conceded
2,3
1,8
Goal diff per game
-1,8
+0,0
This season — Serie A · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 30%
0%
60%
Points per game
0,4
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 70%
60%
80%
Both score Ø 50%
20%
80%
Average goals
2,4
3,6
Scored
0,2
2,0
Conceded
2,2
1,6
Goal diff per game
-2,0
+0,4
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

42% Possession 58%
9 Shots 12
2 Shots on target 5
3 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 4
0 Offside 1
8 Free kicks against 13
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Verona 18. · Lazio 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Napoli 6 6 0 0 +17 18
2 Juventus 6 6 0 0 +15 18
3 Inter 5 4 1 0 +9 13
4 Roma 5 4 0 1 +8 12
5 Milan 6 4 0 2 +2 12
6 Sampdoria 5 3 2 0 +4 11
7 Torino 6 3 2 1 +1 11
8 Lazio 5 3 1 1 +2 10
9 Atalanta 5 2 1 2 +2 7
10 Fiorentina 5 2 0 3 +1 6
11 Cagliari 5 2 0 3 -2 6
12 Chievo 5 1 2 2 -3 5
13 Bologna 5 1 2 2 -3 5
14 Sassuolo 5 1 1 3 -5 4
15 Spal 6 1 1 4 -6 4
16 Udinese 6 1 0 5 -5 3
17 Genoa 5 0 2 3 -4 2
18 Verona 5 0 2 3 -10 2
19 Crotone 5 0 1 4 -10 1
20 Benevento 5 0 0 5 -13 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Verona Lazio
15′
🟨 Marco Parolo
24′
C. Immobile 0–1
40′
C. Immobile 0–2
A. Marušić
Half-time 0–2
M. Kean 🔁
↦ M. Zaccagni
46′
A. Cerci 🔁
↦ S. Souprayen
46′
Moise Kean 🟨
51′
60′
A. Marušić 0–3
C. Immobile
68′
🔁 A. Murgia
↦ J. Lukaku
Lee Seung-Woo 🔁
↦ M. Valoti
71′
71′
🔁 F. Caicedo
↦ Luis Alberto
74′
🟨 Adam Marušić
Marco Fossati 🟨
80′
84′
🔁 D. Di Gennaro
↦ Lucas Leiva
Full-time 0–3

Line-ups

Verona

4-3-3
1 Nicolas G
69 S. Souprayen D
75 T. Heurtaux D
12 A. Caracciolo D
2 Rômulo M
8 M. Fossati M
5 B. Zuculini M
27 M. Valoti M
20 M. Zaccagni M
37 E. Bearzotti F
11 G. Pazzini F
Bench (12)
9 M. Kean
10 A. Cerci
21 Lee Seung-Woo
4 S. Laner
7 D. Verde
17 M. Silvestri
26 M. Cáceres
33 M. Kumbulla
40 F. Coppola
77 Marcel Büchel
93 M. Fares
22 M. Bianchetti

Coach: F. Pecchia

Lazio

3-5-1-1
1 T. Strakosha G
26 Ş. Radu D
5 J. Lukaku D
4 Patric D
77 A. Marušić M
27 Luiz Felipe D
6 Lucas Leiva M
19 S. Lulić M
16 M. Parolo M
18 Luis Alberto F
17 C. Immobile F
Bench (8)
96 A. Murgia
20 F. Caicedo
88 D. Di Gennaro
23 G. Guerrieri
25 I. Vargić
29 S. Palombi
33 Maurício
66 Bruno Jordão

Coach: S. Inzaghi

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Massimiliano Irrati · 66 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.