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Eliteserien
Referee: Kristoffer Hagenes
Molde
S T T S S
3–1
Full-time
Sandefjord
S S T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Molde Sandefjord
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,7
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
3,2
2,7
Scored
1,7
1,8
Conceded
1,5
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+1,0
This season — Eliteserien · 22/22 matches
Win Ø 46%
50%
41%
Points per game
1,7
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 64%
73%
55%
Both score Ø 55%
64%
45%
Average goals
3,0
2,8
Scored
1,7
1,3
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

48% Possession 52%
13 Shots 8
7 Shots on target 4
1 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 1
5 Offside 2
17 Free kicks against 11
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Molde 4. · Sandefjord 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rosenborg 22 14 5 3 +28 47
2 Brann 22 11 7 4 +22 40
3 Sarpsborg 08 22 10 8 4 +8 38
4 Molde 22 11 4 7 +10 37
5 Haugesund 22 10 6 6 +5 36
6 Odd 22 9 5 8 -6 32
7 Sandefjord 22 9 3 10 -4 30
8 Stabaek 22 8 6 8 -7 30
9 Stromsgodset 22 7 8 7 -1 29
10 Lillestrom 22 7 7 8 -2 28
11 Aalesund 22 6 7 9 -2 25
12 Valerenga 21 6 6 9 -6 24
13 Kristiansund 22 5 8 9 -8 23
14 Sogndal 22 6 5 11 -8 23
15 Tromso 22 5 7 10 -12 22
16 Viking 23 3 6 14 -17 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Molde Sandefjord
1–0 T. Amang
E. Håland
14′
21′
Facundo Rodríguez 1–1
C. Grossmüller
Half-time 2–1
2–1 T. Amang
B. Sarr
55′
I. Wadji 🔁
↦ E. Håland
56′
Ibrahima Wadji 🟨
58′
66′
🔁 F. Kastrati
↦ A. Sødlund
69′
🟨 Abdoulaye Seck
P. Strand 🔁
↦ C. Telo
71′
3–1 M. Ellingsen
P. Strand
78′
R. Gabrielsen 🔁
↦ V. Forren
88′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Molde

3-5-2
1 A. Linde G
32 C. Telo D
29 V. Forren D
22 C. Remmer D
8 B. Sarr D
17 F. Aursnes M
6 S. Gregersen D
11 M. Ellingsen M
7 M. Normann M
20 T. Amang F
30 E. Håland F
Bench (7)
28 I. Wadji
14 P. Strand
4 R. Gabrielsen
26 M. Ranmark
5 J. Toivio
19 E. Hestad
33 F. Brustad

Coach: O. Solskjær

Sandefjord

3-4-3
1 I. Jónsson G
2 L. Grorud D
17 J. Solberg M
19 V. Bindia D
14 C. van Berkel D
3 A. Seck D
10 C. Grossmüller M
15 Enric Vallès M
9 H. Storbæk M
22 A. Sødlund M
7 Facundo Rodríguez F
Bench (6)
11 F. Kastrati
6 Pau Morer
8 E. Mjelde
12 Ø. Øvretveit
16 E. Kane
18 W. Kurtovic

Coach: L. Bohinen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Kristoffer Hagenes · 96 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
25,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.