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Pro League
Referee: Nicolas Laforge
Gent
S U U S S
3–0
Full-time
Lokeren
T S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Gent Lokeren
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,8
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,7
2,8
Scored
1,5
1,7
Conceded
1,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,5
This season — Pro League · 3/5 matches
Win Ø 54%
67%
40%
Points per game
2,3
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 47%
33%
60%
Both score Ø 44%
67%
20%
Average goals
3,0
2,2
Scored
2,0
1,0
Conceded
1,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

53% Possession 47%
9 Shots 3
3 Shots on target 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
3 Corners 4
1 Offside 4
14 Free kicks against 13
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Gent 7. · Lokeren 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Waregem 5 4 0 1 +9 12
2 Mechelen 6 3 2 1 +3 11
3 Kortrijk 6 3 2 1 +1 11
4 Genk 5 3 1 1 +4 10
5 Charleroi 4 3 1 0 +3 10
6 Anderlecht 4 2 2 0 +5 8
7 Gent 3 2 1 0 +3 7
8 Club Brugge 5 2 1 2 +1 7
9 Eupen 6 2 1 3 -4 7
10 Standard 5 1 3 1 +1 6
11 Oostende 4 2 0 2 +0 6
12 Lokeren 5 2 0 3 -1 6
13 Beveren 6 1 2 3 -3 5
14 St Truiden 6 1 1 4 -5 4
15 Royal Excel Mouscron 6 1 0 5 -7 3
16 Westerlo 6 0 1 5 -10 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Gent Lokeren
0–1 B. Ňinaj
own goal
26′
Rami Gershon 🟨
27′
Half-time 0–1
46′
🔁 S. De Ridder
↦ N. Jambor
1–1 K. Coulibaly
D. Miličević
60′
68′
🟨 Steve De Ridder
2–1 M. Simon
K. Coulibaly
70′
T. Foket 🔁
↦ D. Miličević
71′
77′
🔁 J. Rassoul
↦ B. Ňinaj
77′
🔁 L. Enoh
↦ T. De Sutter
O. Davidzada 🔁
↦ T. Matton
78′
I. Rabiu 🔁
↦ K. Saief
78′
90′
🟨 Joher Khadim Rassoul
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Gent

3-5-2
1 J. Rinne G
21 N. Asare D
55 R. Gershon D
13 S. Mitrović D
77 D. Miličević F
8 T. Matton M
15 K. Saief M
16 R. Schoofs
44 A. Esiti M
7 K. Coulibaly F
27 M. Simon F
Bench (7)
32 T. Foket
5 O. Davidzada
40 I. Rabiu
17 H. Van der Bruggen
20 Y. Thoelen
23 L. Nielsen
24 J. Perbet

Coach: H. Vanhaezebrouck

Lokeren

4-2-3-1
1 B. Barry G
30 João Carlos
11 G. Galitsios D
19 M. Tičinović D
15 S. Ingason D
25 B. Ňinaj D
7 K. Overmeire M
23 N. Jambor M
9 T. De Sutter F
70 Jajá
50 S. Bolbat F
Bench (7)
22 S. De Ridder
20 J. Rassoul
29 L. Enoh
10 A. Patosi
13 D. Verhulst
14 M. Terki
21 M. Mirić

Coach: G. Leekens

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Nicolas Laforge · 81 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
17,3 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,30 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.