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Pro League
Referee: Nicolas Laforge
Gent
S S S S S
3–0
Full-time
Lokeren
T T U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Gent Lokeren
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
83%
33%
Points per game
2,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,7
2,3
Scored
2,2
1,2
Conceded
0,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
+1,7
+0,0
This season — Pro League · 13/21 matches
Win Ø 42%
54%
29%
Points per game
1,8
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 49%
46%
52%
Both score Ø 49%
46%
52%
Average goals
2,6
2,6
Scored
1,7
1,1
Conceded
0,9
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

53% Possession 47%
17 Shots 7
7 Shots on target 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
6 Corners 5
13 Free kicks against 11
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Gent 11. · Lokeren 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Club Brugge 16 13 2 1 +25 41
2 Antwerp 22 9 8 5 +6 35
3 Anderlecht 13 10 2 1 +13 32
4 Charleroi 14 9 4 1 +15 31
5 St Truiden 22 7 8 7 -7 29
6 Beveren 22 8 4 10 +2 28
7 Kortrijk 22 7 5 10 -7 26
8 Royal Excel Mouscron 22 7 5 10 -9 26
9 Oostende 22 7 4 11 -1 25
10 Lokeren 21 6 6 9 -7 24
11 Gent 13 7 2 4 +10 23
12 Waregem 22 7 2 13 -7 23
13 Standard 15 5 6 4 +0 21
14 Genk 14 4 7 3 +2 19
15 Mechelen 22 4 6 12 -16 18
16 Eupen 22 3 7 12 -19 16

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Gent Lokeren
G. Chakvetadze 🔁
↦ A. Christiansen
42′
0–1 J. Filipović
own goal
44′
Half-time 0–1
F. Andrijašević 🔁
↦ B. Dejaegere
46′
57′
🟨 Killian Overmeire
Dylan Bronn 🟨
59′
1–1 R. Yaremchuk
F. Andrijašević
63′
Samuel Gigot 🟨
67′
69′
🔁 T. De Sutter
↦ R. Söder
77′
🔁 A. Benchaib
↦ J. Michel
78′
🔁 G. Hupperts
↦ B. Straetman
R. Janga 🔁
↦ M. Sylla
84′
2–1 G. Chakvetadze
R. Janga
86′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Gent

4-4-2
91 L. Kalinić G
21 N. Asare D
2 S. Gigot D
22 D. Bronn D
8 A. Christiansen M
19 B. Dejaegere M
6 B. Verstraete M
32 T. Foket M
31 Y. Kubo F
17 R. Yaremchuk F
9 M. Sylla F
Bench (7)
7 G. Chakvetadze
23 F. Andrijašević
14 R. Janga
24 N. Raskin
4 S. Rosted
33 L. Verstraete
20 Y. Thoelen

Coach: Y. Vanderhaeghe

Lokeren

4-2-3-1
13 D. Verhulst G
6 A. Skúlason D
19 M. Tičinović D
25 J. Filipović D
7 K. Overmeire M
22 S. De Ridder M
8 J. Michel M
20 J. Rassoul M
27 R. Söder F
14 M. Terki F
11 B. Straetman F
Bench (7)
9 T. De Sutter
28 A. Benchaib
17 G. Hupperts
2 S. Marzo
26 A. Monsecour
12 O. De Wolf
35 T. Mpati Bibuangu

Coach: P. Maes

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Nicolas Laforge · 81 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
17,3 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,30 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.