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Pro League
Referee: Nathan Verboomen
Beveren
T U T T U
1–1
Full-time
Charleroi
T T T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Beveren Charleroi
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,5
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,5
3,0
Scored
0,8
1,5
Conceded
1,7
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,0
This season — Pro League · 7/7 matches
Win Ø 15%
0%
29%
Points per game
0,6
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
57%
57%
Both score Ø 57%
57%
57%
Average goals
2,7
2,7
Scored
1,0
1,3
Conceded
1,7
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

52% Possession 48%
8 Shots 10
3 Shots on target 5
4 Goalkeeper saves 1
3 Corners 5
1 Offside 0
25 Free kicks against 11
4 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 2
The table before the match Beveren 14. · Charleroi 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Club Brugge 5 5 0 0 +11 15
2 Genk 6 4 2 0 +9 14
3 Gent 6 4 1 1 +7 13
4 Antwerp 5 4 1 0 +7 13
5 Anderlecht 4 4 0 0 +9 12
6 St Truiden 7 2 4 1 +1 10
7 Oostende 7 3 1 3 -2 10
8 Standard 6 2 3 1 +3 9
9 Cercle Brugge 7 2 3 2 -1 9
10 Kortrijk 8 2 2 4 -4 8
11 Charleroi 7 2 1 4 -1 7
12 Eupen 7 2 1 4 -9 7
13 Waregem 8 1 2 5 -9 5
14 Beveren 7 0 4 3 -5 4
15 Lokeren 7 1 1 5 -9 4
16 Royal Excel Mouscron 7 1 0 6 -7 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Beveren Charleroi
19′
Victor Osimhen 0–1
Adama Niane
Milan Massop 🟨
35′
45′
🟨 Stergos Marinos
Half-time 0–1
Francesco Forte 🔁
↦ Paul Keita
46′
49′
🟥 Marco Ilaimaharitra
1–1 Nana Opoku Ampomah
51′
52′
🔁 Gaetan Hendrickx
↦ Massimo Bruno
67′
🔁 Ali Gholizadeh
↦ Adama Niane
Floriano Vanzo 🔁
↦ Jur Schryvers
74′
Maximiliano Caufriez 🟨
81′
Apostolos Vellios 🟨
86′
Beni Badibanga 🔁
↦ Denzel Jubitana
86′
Nana Opoku Ampomah 🟨
90′
90′
🟥 Jérémy Perbet
90′
🔁 Jérémy Perbet
↦ Victor Osimhen
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Beveren

3-5-2
33 Davy Roef G
23 Maximiliano Caufriez D
26 Aleksandar Vukotić D
3 Milan Massop D
7 Aleksandar Boljević F
15 Paul Keita M
14 Denzel Jubitana M
24 Rafidine Abdullah M
52 Jur Schryvers D
22 Nana Opoku Ampomah M
39 Apostolos Vellios F
Bench (8)
89 Kevin Debaty
2 Tobias Salquist
19 Alexis Gamboa
28 Daam Foulon
13 Louis Verstraete
10 Floriano Vanzo
11 Beni Badibanga
9 Francesco Forte

Coach: Y. Ferrera

Charleroi

4-4-2
1 Nicolas Penneteau G
17 Stergos Marinos D
8 Martos D
24 Dorian Dessoleil D
25 Núrio D
77 Massimo Bruno F
26 Marco Ilaimaharitra M
13 Christophe Diandy M
14 Cristian Benavente M
9 Adama Niane F
45 Victor Osimhen F
Bench (8)
69 Rémy Riou
4 Maxime Busi
5 Dorian Dervite
23 Steeven Willems
22 Gaetan Hendrickx
10 Jérémy Perbet
88 Ali Gholizadeh
39 David Henen

Coach: F. Mazzù

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Nathan Verboomen · 70 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
18,3 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.