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Referee: Alexandre Boucaut

Cercle Brugge

U S T T U

2–5

Full-time

Genk

U S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cercle Brugge Genk

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

33%

67%

Points per game

1,3

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,5

3,8

Scored

1,2

2,7

Conceded

1,3

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+1,5

This season — Pro League · 7/6 matches

Win Ø 48%

29%

67%

Points per game

1,3

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 55%

43%

67%

Both score Ø 55%

43%

67%

Average goals

2,1

3,8

Scored

1,0

2,7

Conceded

1,1

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,1

+1,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

37% Possession 63%

7 Shots 16

3 Shots on target 7

2 Goalkeeper saves 1

1 Corners 4

7 Free kicks against 5

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Cercle Brugge 9. · Genk 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Club Brugge	5	5	0	0	+11	15
2	Genk	6	4	2	0	+9	14
3	Gent	6	4	1	1	+7	13
4	Antwerp	6	4	1	1	+5	13
5	St Truiden	8	3	4	1	+3	13
6	Oostende	8	4	1	3	-1	13
7	Anderlecht	4	4	0	0	+9	12
8	Standard	6	2	3	1	+3	9
9	Cercle Brugge	7	2	3	2	-1	9
10	Charleroi	8	2	2	4	-1	8
11	Kortrijk	8	2	2	4	-4	8
12	Eupen	8	2	1	5	-10	7
13	Beveren	8	0	5	3	-5	5
14	Waregem	8	1	2	5	-9	5
15	Lokeren	8	1	2	5	-9	5
16	Royal Excel Mouscron	8	1	1	6	-7	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Club Brugge	3	3	0	0	+7	9
2	St Truiden	4	2	2	0	+3	8
3	Antwerp	3	2	1	0	+5	7
4	Gent	4	2	1	1	+3	7
5	Genk	3	2	1	0	+3	7
6	Oostende	4	2	1	1	+1	7
7	Anderlecht	2	2	0	0	+5	6
8	Cercle Brugge	3	2	0	1	+0	6
9	Standard	3	1	2	0	+1	5
10	Beveren	4	0	4	0	+0	4
11	Waregem	4	1	1	2	-1	4
12	Lokeren	4	1	1	2	-6	4
13	Charleroi	4	1	0	3	-2	3
14	Royal Excel Mouscron	4	1	0	3	-2	3
15	Eupen	4	1	0	3	-4	3
16	Kortrijk	3	0	1	2	-4	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Genk	3	2	1	0	+6	7
2	Kortrijk	5	2	1	2	+0	7
3	Anderlecht	2	2	0	0	+4	6
4	Gent	2	2	0	0	+4	6
5	Club Brugge	2	2	0	0	+4	6
6	Antwerp	3	2	0	1	+0	6
7	Oostende	4	2	0	2	-2	6
8	Charleroi	4	1	2	1	+1	5
9	St Truiden	4	1	2	1	+0	5
10	Standard	3	1	1	1	+2	4
11	Eupen	4	1	1	2	-6	4
12	Cercle Brugge	4	0	3	1	-1	3
13	Lokeren	4	0	1	3	-3	1
14	Beveren	4	0	1	3	-5	1
15	Royal Excel Mouscron	4	0	1	3	-5	1
16	Waregem	4	0	1	3	-8	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.