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Pro League
Referee: Nicolas Laforge
Cercle Brugge
T S T T U
1–2
Full-time
St Truiden
U T U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cercle Brugge St Truiden
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,7
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,0
2,5
Scored
0,8
1,2
Conceded
2,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
-1,3
-0,2
This season — Pro League · 22/22 matches
Win Ø 34%
32%
36%
Points per game
1,2
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 55%
59%
50%
Both score Ø 64%
59%
68%
Average goals
3,0
2,8
Scored
1,1
1,5
Conceded
1,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

5 Corners 7
4 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Cercle Brugge 11. · St Truiden 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Genk 15 10 4 1 +21 34
2 Antwerp 15 11 1 3 +11 34
3 Charleroi 23 10 4 9 +4 34
4 St Truiden 22 8 9 5 +7 33
5 Standard 16 9 5 2 +15 32
6 Gent 14 9 2 3 +15 29
7 Kortrijk 22 7 7 8 -3 28
8 Eupen 22 9 1 12 -13 28
9 Club Brugge 15 8 3 4 +15 27
10 Anderlecht 15 8 3 4 +10 27
11 Cercle Brugge 22 7 5 10 -15 26
12 Oostende 22 6 5 11 -17 23
13 Beveren 23 4 10 9 -7 22
14 Royal Excel Mouscron 22 5 5 12 -10 20
15 Waregem 22 5 5 12 -14 20
16 Lokeren 22 3 5 14 -19 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Cercle Brugge St Truiden
1–0 Johanna Ochieng Omolo
31′
38′
Jordan Botaka 1–1
41′
🟨 Ibrahima Sory Sankhon
Half-time 1–1
Lloyd Palun 🟨
56′
Paul Nardi 🟨
59′
Guevin Tormin 🟨
63′
64′
Yohan Boli 1–2
Serge Gakpé 🔁
↦ Naomichi Ueda
71′
Gianni Bruno 🔁
↦ Irvin Cardona
77′
78′
🔁 Mamadou Sylla
↦ Daichi Kamada
Xavier Mercier 🟨
82′
Dylan de Belder 🔁
↦ Lloyd Palun
85′
90′
🔁 Christian Ceballos
↦ Yohan Boli
90′
🔁 Wolke Janssens
↦ Elton Acolatse
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Cercle Brugge

4-3-2-1
1 Paul Nardi G
8 Lloyd Palun D
28 Benjamin Delacourt M
24 Naomichi Ueda D
17 Yoann Etienne D
15 Johanna Ochieng Omolo M
21 Arnaud Lusamba M
10 Xavier Mercier M
13 Kylian Hazard F
11 Guevin Tormin F
14 Irvin Cardona F
Bench (7)
16 Miguel Van Damme
20 Issa Marega
34 Robbe Decostere
6 Serge Gakpé
5 Isaac Kone
9 Gianni Bruno
12 Dylan de Belder

St Truiden

4-4-2
1 Kenny Steppe G
20 Samy Mmaee D
7 Jordan Botaka F
5 Alexis De Sart M
26 Jorge Teixeira D
6 Steven De Petter M
8 Ibrahima Sory Sankhon M
12 Samuel Asamoah M
11 Yohan Boli F
15 Daichi Kamada M
29 Elton Acolatse F
Bench (6)
21 Lucas Pirard
25 Yuta Koike
19 Christian Ceballos
14 Alexandre De Bruyn
28 Takahiro Sekine
22 Wolke Janssens

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Nicolas Laforge · 81 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
17,3 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,30 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.