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Pro League

Referee: Wesley Alen

Cercle Brugge

T S T U T

2–1

Full-time

Royal Excel Mouscron

T T U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cercle Brugge Royal Excel Mouscron

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

0,7

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

4,0

2,5

Scored

1,2

1,0

Conceded

2,8

1,5

Goal diff per game

-1,7

-0,5

This season — Pro League · 13/13 matches

Win Ø 19%

23%

15%

Points per game

1,0

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

54%

46%

Both score Ø 46%

54%

38%

Average goals

3,0

2,2

Scored

1,1

0,7

Conceded

1,9

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

9 Corners 3

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Cercle Brugge 12. · Royal Excel Mouscron 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Club Brugge	9	7	2	0	+19	23
2	Genk	9	7	2	0	+17	23
3	Antwerp	9	7	1	1	+8	22
4	Anderlecht	9	6	2	1	+11	20
5	Gent	9	6	1	2	+10	19
6	St Truiden	13	4	6	3	+2	18
7	Oostende	14	5	3	6	-10	18
8	Charleroi	14	5	2	7	-1	17
9	Kortrijk	13	4	4	5	-2	16
10	Eupen	13	5	1	7	-7	16
11	Standard	9	3	4	2	+3	13
12	Cercle Brugge	13	3	4	6	-11	13
13	Beveren	13	1	8	4	-3	11
14	Royal Excel Mouscron	13	2	3	8	-10	9
15	Waregem	13	2	3	8	-13	9
16	Lokeren	13	1	4	8	-13	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Club Brugge	6	5	1	0	+15	16
2	Genk	5	4	1	0	+8	13
3	St Truiden	6	3	3	0	+5	12
4	Charleroi	7	4	0	3	+1	12
5	Anderlecht	5	3	2	0	+7	11
6	Antwerp	4	3	1	0	+6	10
7	Gent	5	3	1	1	+4	10
8	Cercle Brugge	6	3	1	2	-2	10
9	Oostende	7	3	1	3	-4	10
10	Eupen	7	3	0	4	-2	9
11	Waregem	7	2	2	3	+0	8
12	Royal Excel Mouscron	7	2	1	4	-3	7
13	Standard	3	1	2	0	+1	5
14	Beveren	6	0	5	1	-1	5
15	Kortrijk	6	1	2	3	-4	5
16	Lokeren	6	1	2	3	-8	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Antwerp	5	4	0	1	+2	12
2	Kortrijk	7	3	2	2	+2	11
3	Genk	4	3	1	0	+9	10
4	Gent	4	3	0	1	+6	9
5	Anderlecht	4	3	0	1	+4	9
6	Standard	6	2	2	2	+2	8
7	Oostende	7	2	2	3	-6	8
8	Club Brugge	3	2	1	0	+4	7
9	Eupen	6	2	1	3	-5	7
10	Beveren	7	1	3	3	-2	6
11	St Truiden	7	1	3	3	-3	6
12	Charleroi	7	1	2	4	-2	5
13	Cercle Brugge	7	0	3	4	-9	3
14	Lokeren	7	0	2	5	-5	2
15	Royal Excel Mouscron	6	0	2	4	-7	2
16	Waregem	6	0	1	5	-13	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.