← Match Finder
Pro League
Referee: Kevin van Damme
Genk
U T S U S
2–1
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Team trends

Genk Royal Excel Mouscron
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,8
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
3,2
3,2
Scored
1,8
1,7
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,2
This season — Pro League · 11/9 matches
Win Ø 50%
55%
44%
Points per game
1,8
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
73%
44%
Both score Ø 60%
64%
56%
Average goals
3,3
2,6
Scored
2,0
1,4
Conceded
1,3
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

65% Possession 35%
12 Shots 7
6 Shots on target 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
1 Corners 4
4 Offside 2
12 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Genk 4. · Royal Excel Mouscron 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Club Brugge 10 8 2 0 +24 26
2 Standard 11 7 2 2 +17 23
3 Antwerp 10 6 2 2 +11 20
4 Genk 11 6 2 3 +8 20
5 Mechelen 11 5 3 3 +0 18
6 Gent 10 5 2 3 +7 17
7 Waregem 11 4 5 2 +6 17
8 Royal Excel Mouscron 9 4 4 1 +3 16
9 Mouscron 10 4 4 2 +2 16
10 Charleroi 10 4 3 3 +4 15
11 St Truiden 12 3 4 5 -8 13
12 Kortrijk 11 3 2 6 -1 11
13 Anderlecht 12 2 5 5 -4 11
14 Oostende 11 3 2 6 -9 11
15 Waasland-Beveren 10 1 4 5 -12 7
16 Beveren 10 1 4 5 -12 7
17 Eupen 12 1 4 7 -18 7
18 Cercle Brugge 11 2 0 9 -18 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Genk Royal Excel Mouscron
Half-time 0–1
49′
J. Osabutey 0–1
54′
🟨 Frank Boya
P. Onuachu 🔁
↦ I. Hagi
60′
62′
🟨 Nathan De Medina
B. Heynen 🔁
↦ P. Hrošovský
72′
73′
🔁 S. Spahiu
↦ F. Olinga
1–1 P. Onuachu
J. Ito
75′
80′
🔁 D. Mohamed
↦ B. Van Durmen
Bryan Heynen 🟨
90′
S. Odey 🔁
↦ T. Bongonda
91′
94′
🔁 Jonathan Buatu
↦ J. Osabutey
2–1 P. Onuachu
J. Mæhle
98′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Genk

4-3-3
28 G. Coucke G
21 J. Uronen D
33 J. Lucumí D
46 C. Cuesta D
31 J. Mæhle M
17 P. Hrošovský M
23 I. Hagi M
25 S. Berge M
10 M. Samatta F
27 T. Bongonda M
7 J. Ito
Bench (7)
18 P. Onuachu
8 B. Heynen
15 S. Odey
2 C. De Norre
6 S. Dewaest
4 D. Wouters
26 M. Vandevoordt

Coach: F. Mazzù

Royal Excel Mouscron

5-3-2
1 J. Butez G
33 K. Wimmer D
31 B. Godeau D
4 N. De Medina D
23 Diogo Queirós D
6 D. Hočko M
24 Aleix García M
30 B. Van Durmen M
15 F. Boya M
7 F. Olinga F
45 J. Osabutey F
Bench (7)
8 S. Spahiu
11 D. Mohamed
32 Jonathan Buatu
22 Joan Campins
90 V. Vasić
13 A. Ciranni
3 N. Antonov

Coach: B. Hollerbach

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Kevin van Damme · 28 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
18,4 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.