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Pro League

Referee: Bert Put

Genk

S U S S T

1–0

Full-time

Cercle Brugge

T T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Genk Cercle Brugge

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

1,7

0,0

Over 2.5 Ø 83%

83%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

3,3

3,8

Scored

1,8

0,7

Conceded

1,5

3,2

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-2,5

This season — Pro League · 13/12 matches

Win Ø 36%

54%

17%

Points per game

1,8

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 68%

69%

67%

Both score Ø 56%

62%

50%

Average goals

3,1

3,3

Scored

1,8

0,8

Conceded

1,2

2,5

Goal diff per game

+0,6

-1,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

49% Possession 51%

13 Shots 11

6 Shots on target 4

4 Goalkeeper saves 6

8 Corners 4

3 Offside 0

7 Free kicks against 16

0 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Genk 6. · Cercle Brugge 18. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Club Brugge	12	10	2	0	+26	32
2	Standard	12	8	2	2	+18	26
3	Charleroi	13	7	3	3	+9	24
4	Antwerp	12	7	2	3	+11	23
5	Gent	12	7	2	3	+11	23
6	Genk	13	7	2	4	+8	23
7	Mechelen	12	6	3	3	+2	21
8	Waregem	13	5	5	3	+6	20
9	Mouscron	12	4	4	4	+0	16
10	Royal Excel Mouscron	12	4	4	4	+0	16
11	Anderlecht	14	3	6	5	-1	15
12	Kortrijk	13	4	2	7	-1	14
13	St Truiden	13	3	4	6	-11	13
14	Oostende	13	3	2	8	-12	11
15	Eupen	14	2	5	7	-17	11
16	Waasland-Beveren	11	1	4	6	-14	7
17	Beveren	11	1	4	6	-14	7
18	Cercle Brugge	12	2	0	10	-21	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Gent	7	7	0	0	+17	21
2	Standard	7	6	1	0	+15	19
3	Antwerp	6	5	1	0	+12	16
4	Genk	6	5	0	1	+4	15
5	Waregem	6	4	1	1	+10	13
6	Charleroi	7	4	1	2	+0	13
7	Club Brugge	5	3	2	0	+11	11
8	Kortrijk	6	3	2	1	+7	11
9	Mouscron	6	3	2	1	+4	11
10	Royal Excel Mouscron	6	3	2	1	+4	11
11	Mechelen	6	3	2	1	+1	11
12	Anderlecht	7	2	3	2	+2	9
13	St Truiden	7	1	4	2	-1	7
14	Oostende	6	2	1	3	-3	7
15	Cercle Brugge	7	2	0	5	-8	6
16	Eupen	7	0	4	3	-7	4
17	Waasland-Beveren	5	1	1	3	-8	4
18	Beveren	5	1	1	3	-8	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Club Brugge	7	7	0	0	+15	21
2	Charleroi	6	3	2	1	+9	11
3	Mechelen	6	3	1	2	+1	10
4	Genk	7	2	2	3	+4	8
5	Standard	5	2	1	2	+3	7
6	Antwerp	6	2	1	3	-1	7
7	Waregem	7	1	4	2	-4	7
8	Eupen	7	2	1	4	-10	7
9	Anderlecht	7	1	3	3	-3	6
10	St Truiden	6	2	0	4	-10	6
11	Mouscron	6	1	2	3	-4	5
12	Royal Excel Mouscron	6	1	2	3	-4	5
13	Oostende	7	1	1	5	-9	4
14	Waasland-Beveren	6	0	3	3	-6	3
15	Beveren	6	0	3	3	-6	3
16	Kortrijk	7	1	0	6	-8	3
17	Gent	5	0	2	3	-6	2
18	Cercle Brugge	5	0	0	5	-13	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.