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Pro League
Referee: Alexandre Boucaut
3–1
Full-time
Anderlecht
U S T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Royal Excel Mouscron Anderlecht
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,8
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
33%
100%
Average goals
1,3
3,2
Scored
0,5
1,3
Conceded
0,8
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,5
This season — Pro League · 19/13 matches
Win Ø 35%
16%
54%
Points per game
0,7
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 56%
42%
69%
Both score Ø 61%
37%
85%
Average goals
1,9
3,5
Scored
0,6
2,1
Conceded
1,3
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,6
+0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

4 Corners 3
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Royal Excel Mouscron 15. · Anderlecht 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 St Truiden 19 8 7 4 +8 31
2 Charleroi 19 9 3 7 +6 30
3 Gent 14 9 2 3 +15 29
4 Genk 13 8 4 1 +18 28
5 Antwerp 13 9 1 3 +9 28
6 Cercle Brugge 20 7 4 9 -14 25
7 Club Brugge 13 7 3 3 +15 24
8 Anderlecht 13 7 3 3 +9 24
9 Kortrijk 19 6 6 7 -4 24
10 Standard 13 6 5 2 +11 23
11 Oostende 19 6 4 9 -14 22
12 Eupen 19 7 1 11 -15 22
13 Beveren 19 3 8 8 -5 17
14 Waregem 19 4 5 10 -13 17
15 Royal Excel Mouscron 19 3 5 11 -12 14
16 Lokeren 19 3 5 11 -14 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Royal Excel Mouscron Anderlecht
1–0 Mbaye Leye
7′
2–0 Marko Bakić
15′
41′
🟨 Zakaria Bakkali
Half-time 2–0
61′
🟨 Alexis Saelemaekers
67′
🟨 Ognjen Vranješ
72′
🔁 Jeremy Doku
↦ Francis Amuzu
72′
🔁 Edo Kayembe
↦ Alexis Saelemaekers
Mićo Kuzmanović 🔁
↦ Fabrice Olinga
74′
77′
Landry Dimata 2–1
3–1 Mbaye Leye
81′
Manuel Benson 🟨
86′
86′
🔁 Kenny Saief
↦ Zakaria Bakkali
Bilal Chibani 🔁
↦ Marko Bakić
88′
Yannis Mbombo 🟨
90′
Yannis Mbombo 🔁
↦ Manuel Benson
90′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Royal Excel Mouscron

4-3-3
33 Jean Butez G
27 Mergim Vojvoda D
2 Noe Dussenne D
31 Bruno Godeau D
24 Nikola Gulan M
22 Marko Bakić M
30 Benjamin van Durmen M
11 Dimitri Mohamed F
7 Fabrice Olinga F
18 Mbaye Leye F
21 Manuel Benson M
Bench (7)
1 Olivier Werner
13 Giorgos Galitsios
19 Andres Sarmiento
26 Bilal Chibani
77 Mićo Kuzmanović
9 Yannis Mbombo
99 Idrisa Sambu

Coach: B. Storck

Anderlecht

4-4-2
16 Thomas Didillon G
56 Alexis Saelemaekers D
55 Ognjen Vranješ D
45 Sebastiaan Bornauw D
22 Elias Cobbaut D
99 Zakaria Bakkali M
7 Andy Najar D
8 Pieter Gerkens M
40 Francis Amuzu F
19 Ivan Santini F
9 Landry Dimata F
Bench (9)
1 Frank Boeckx
12 Dennis Appiah
42 Hannes Delcroix
3 Jamie Lawrence
4 Bubacarr Sanneh
15 Kenny Saief
39 Edo Kayembe
49 Jeremy Doku
11 Knowledge Musona

Coach: K. Belhocine

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Alexandre Boucaut · 68 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
15,9 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,34 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.