Serie B
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Venezia
Sampdoria
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 2–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | xG +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Modena
|
12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | +13 | +1.2 | 25 |
| 2 |
Monza
|
11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | +8 | +1.2 | 23 |
| 3 |
Frosinone
|
12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | +11 | +1.8 | 22 |
| 4 |
Cesena
|
11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | +3 | +0.8 | 20 |
| 5 |
Palermo
|
12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | +6 | -1.7 | 19 |
| 6 |
Juve Stabia
|
11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | +0 | +0.6 | 17 |
| 7 |
Venezia
|
11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | +6 | – | 16 |
| 8 |
Reggiana
|
12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | +0 | -0.4 | 16 |
| 9 |
Avellino
|
11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | -3 | +0.2 | 16 |
| 10 |
Carrarese
|
12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | +2 | +1.0 | 15 |
| 11 |
Catanzaro
|
12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | +1 | -1.3 | 15 |
| 12 |
Padova
|
12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | -2 | -1.3 | 14 |
| 13 |
Empoli
|
12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | -4 | +0.6 | 14 |
| 14 |
Virtus Entella
|
12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | -5 | -2.7 | 14 |
| 15 |
Bari
|
11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | -5 | -0.7 | 13 |
| 16 |
Sudtirol
|
12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | -3 | -1.8 | 12 |
| 17 |
Mantova
|
12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | -9 | +1.3 | 11 |
| 18 |
Spezia
|
12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | -5 | +0.7 | 8 |
| 19 |
Pescara
|
11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | -8 | -0.2 | 8 |
| 20 |
Sampdoria
|
11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | -6 | +0.7 | 7 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
F. Stankovic
G
J. Schingtienne
D
M. Svoboda
D
B. Franjic
D
G. Busio
M
A. Hainaut
M
K. Perez
M
I. Doumbia
M
R. Haps
M
J. Yeboah
F
Coach: Giovanni Stroppa
S. Ghidotti
G
A. Ferrari
D
S. Giordano
D
F. Depaoli
M
L. Benedetti
M
L. Henderson
M
L. Cherubini
F
Coach: Massimo Donati
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Catanzaro
Venezia
Venezia
Sudtirol
Carrarese
Venezia
Empoli
Venezia
Venezia
Frosinone
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.