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Serie B
Referee: Claudio Giuseppe Allegretta
Venezia
S U T S T
3–1
Full-time
Sampdoria
S T U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Venezia Sampdoria
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,3
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,7
2,3
Scored
1,7
1,2
Conceded
1,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,0
This season — Serie B · 11/11 matches
Win Ø 23%
36%
9%
Points per game
1,5
0,6
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
64%
36%
Both score Ø 60%
55%
64%
Average goals
2,5
2,4
Scored
1,5
0,9
Conceded
1,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

1,56 xG 0,65
56% Possession 44%
18 Shots 8
7 Shots on target 4
6 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
3 Corners 6
0 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 17
1 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Venezia 7. · Sampdoria 20.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Modena 12 7 4 1 +13 +1.2 25
2 Monza 11 7 2 2 +8 +1.2 23
3 Frosinone 12 6 4 2 +11 +1.8 22
4 Cesena 11 6 2 3 +3 +0.8 20
5 Palermo 12 5 4 3 +6 -1.7 19
6 Juve Stabia 11 4 5 2 +0 +0.6 17
7 Venezia 11 4 4 3 +6 16
8 Reggiana 12 4 4 4 +0 -0.4 16
9 Avellino 11 4 4 3 -3 +0.2 16
10 Carrarese 12 3 6 3 +2 +1.0 15
11 Catanzaro 12 3 6 3 +1 -1.3 15
12 Padova 12 3 5 4 -2 -1.3 14
13 Empoli 12 3 5 4 -4 +0.6 14
14 Virtus Entella 12 3 5 4 -5 -2.7 14
15 Bari 11 3 4 4 -5 -0.7 13
16 Sudtirol 12 2 6 4 -3 -1.8 12
17 Mantova 12 3 2 7 -9 +1.3 11
18 Spezia 12 1 5 6 -5 +0.7 8
19 Pescara 11 1 5 5 -8 -0.2 8
20 Sampdoria 11 1 4 6 -6 +0.7 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Venezia Sampdoria
21′
🟨 Liam Henderson
1–0 G. Busio
I. Doumbia
24′
31′
🟨 Fabio Depaoli
2–0 A. Hainaut
K. Perez
34′
Antoine Hainaut ℹ️
VAR: Goal confirmed
36′
42′
🟨 Nicholas Ioannou
Half-time 2–0
Ridgeciano Haps 🟨
46′
46′
🔁 M. Cuni
↦ N. Ioannou
59′
🔁 L. Venuti
↦ F. Depaoli
D. Fila 🔁
↦ A. Adorante
63′
R. Sagrado 🔁
↦ R. Haps
63′
67′
L. Henderson 2–1
M. Coda
72′
🔁 J. Ferri
↦ A. Barak
76′
🟨 Simone Giordano
3–1 D. Fila
J. Yeboah
77′
A. Duncan 🔁
↦ K. Perez
80′
86′
🟨 Jordan Ferri
M. Venturi 🔁
↦ J. Schingtienne
87′
N. Lella 🔁
↦ G. Busio
87′
88′
🔁 T. Casalino
↦ L. Cherubini
88′
🔁 F. Conti
↦ L. Benedetti
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Venezia

3-1-4-2
1 F. Stankovic G
3 J. Schingtienne D
30 M. Svoboda D
4 B. Franjic D
6 G. Busio M
18 A. Hainaut M
71 K. Perez M
8 I. Doumbia M
5 R. Haps M
10 J. Yeboah F
9 A. Adorante F
Bench (11)
23 M. Grandi
14 S. Minelli
2 S. Korac
7 D. Fila
16 M. Venturi
19 B. Bjarkason
20 R. Sagrado
24 N. Lella
32 A. Duncan
48 A. Sidibe
80 A. Casas

Coach: Giovanni Stroppa

Sampdoria

3-5-1-1
1 S. Ghidotti G
17 D. Hadzikadunic D
25 A. Ferrari D
21 S. Giordano D
23 F. Depaoli M
80 L. Benedetti M
16 L. Henderson M
72 A. Barak M
44 N. Ioannou M
10 L. Cherubini F
9 M. Coda F
Bench (12)
98 G. Coucke
22 A. Krastev
3 A. Coubis
5 A. Riccio
18 L. Venuti
31 S. Vulikic
14 A. Bellemo
34 T. Casalino
33 F. Conti
4 J. Ferri
70 V. Narro
7 M. Cuni

Coach: Massimo Donati

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,70
U
3,53
B
4,69
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,99
U2,5
1,73
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.