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2. Bundesliga
Referee: Patrick Schwengers
Bielefeld
T T S T U
4–0
Full-time
Karlsruhe
U T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bielefeld Karlsruhe
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 83%
83%
83%
Both score Ø 83%
83%
83%
Average goals
3,8
4,0
Scored
1,7
2,2
Conceded
2,2
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,3
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 11/11 matches
Win Ø 46%
36%
55%
Points per game
1,3
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 64%
64%
64%
Both score Ø 64%
73%
55%
Average goals
3,5
3,0
Scored
1,9
1,7
Conceded
1,6
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

3,00 xG 0,45
44% Possession 56%
19 Shots 8
6 Shots on target 2
7 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 5
2 Offside 0
7 Free kicks against 11
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Bielefeld 10. · Karlsruhe 5.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Paderborn 11 8 2 1 +9 +3.2 26
2 Schalke 04 11 8 0 3 +8 +1.8 24
3 Elversberg 11 7 2 2 +14 -3.0 23
4 Hannover 11 6 3 2 +5 +2.6 21
5 Karlsruhe 11 6 3 2 +5 -0.8 21
6 Kaiserslautern 11 6 2 3 +7 +0.1 20
7 Darmstadt 11 5 4 2 +7 +3.6 19
8 Hertha 11 5 2 4 +4 -0.9 17
9 Nurnberg 12 4 3 5 -3 +0.5 15
10 Bielefeld 11 4 2 5 +3 -1.0 14
11 Preußen Münster 12 4 2 6 -4 -1.2 14
12 Greuther Furth 12 4 1 7 -12 -1.3 13
13 Holstein Kiel 11 3 3 5 +0 -0.6 12
14 Fortuna Dusseldorf 11 3 2 6 -9 -3.8 11
15 Bochum 11 3 1 7 -4 +3.0 10
16 Braunschweig 11 3 1 7 -10 -1.3 10
17 Dresden 12 1 4 7 -8 +0.5 7
18 Magdeburg 11 2 1 8 -12 -1.7 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Bielefeld Karlsruhe
1–0 J. Grodowski
45′
Half-time 1–0
Tim Handwerker ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
46′
2–0 T. Momuluh
46′
48′
🟨 Marcel Franke
3–0 T. Momuluh
T. Handwerker
50′
56′
🔁 A. Muller
↦ L. Opitz
56′
🔁 S. Fukuda
↦ P. Forster
4–0 N. Sarenren Bazee
M. Corboz
60′
S. Schreck 🔁
↦ N. Sarenren Bazee
66′
I. Young 🔁
↦ T. Momuluh
66′
71′
🔁 P. Scholl
↦ M. Franke
71′
🔁 E. Laghrissi
↦ F. Schleusener
A. Sicker 🔁
↦ T. Handwerker
75′
A. F. Ocansey V. 🔁
↦ J. Grodowski
75′
78′
🟨 David Herold
C. Lannert 🔁
↦ J. Felix
83′
83′
🔁 M. Waschenbach
↦ D. Herold
Full-time 4–0

Line-ups

Bielefeld

3-4-3
1 J. Kersken G
23 L. Schneider D
19 M. Grosser D
3 J. Felix D
27 B. Boakye M
6 M. Corboz M
38 M. Worl M
29 T. Handwerker M
14 T. Momuluh F
11 J. Grodowski F
37 N. Sarenren Bazee F
Bench (9)
18 L. Oppermann
24 C. Lannert
17 A. Sicker
2 F. Hagmann
20 F. Micheler
8 S. Schreck
45 A. F. Ocansey V.
30 I. Young
7 J. Kania

Coach: Michél Kniat

Karlsruhe

3-5-2
1 C. Bernat G
22 C. Kobald D
28 M. Franke D
6 N. Rapp D
36 R. Pinto Pedrosa M
11 P. Forster M
7 D. Burnic M
10 M. Wanitzek M
20 D. Herold M
24 F. Schleusener F
17 L. Opitz F
Bench (9)
4 M. Beifus
15 P. Scholl
16 A. Muller
21 M. Waschenbach
9 R. Simic
13 S. Fukuda
35 R. Geller
44 E. Laghrissi
30 R. Himmelmann

Coach: Christian Eichner

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,22
U
3,64
B
2,81
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,51
U2,5
2,39
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.