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Bundesliga

Referee: P Ciochirca

Ried

U S S T T

2–1

Full-time

BW Linz

S S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ried BW Linz

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,2

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

50%

17%

Both score Ø 34%

50%

17%

Average goals

2,8

2,3

Scored

1,2

0,8

Conceded

1,7

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Bundesliga · 12/12 matches

Win Ø 29%

33%

25%

Points per game

1,2

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 34%

50%

17%

Average goals

2,8

2,3

Scored

1,3

0,8

Conceded

1,6

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,50 xG 0,91

48% Possession 52%

11 Shots 16

3 Shots on target 1

3 Blocked shots 4

0 Goalkeeper saves 1

3 Corners 3

2 Offside 2

7 Free kicks against 11

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ried 9. · BW Linz 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Salzburg	12	7	3	2	+13	+4.9	24
2	SK Rapid	12	7	2	3	+5	+0.1	23
3	Wolfsberger AC	12	6	3	3	+8	-1.3	21
4	Sturm Graz	11	7	0	4	+8	+3.6	21
5	Hartberg	12	4	4	4	+1	-0.3	16
6	Austria Vienna	12	5	1	6	-4	-0.1	16
7	LASK	12	5	1	6	-4	-4.3	16
8	Altach	12	3	5	4	-2	-0.5	14
9	Ried	12	4	2	6	-4	-3.2	14
10	Tirol	11	3	4	4	-1	+5.3	13
11	BW Linz	12	3	1	8	-8	-2.9	10
12	Grazer AK	12	1	6	5	-12	-1.4	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Salzburg	7	4	2	1	+10	+3.5	14
2	Tirol	6	3	1	2	+4	+3.9	10
3	Wolfsberger AC	7	3	1	3	+2	-1.5	10
4	SK Rapid	6	3	1	2	+1	+0.1	10
5	LASK	6	3	1	2	+0	-2.9	10
6	Altach	6	2	3	1	+0	+0.9	9
7	Grazer AK	7	1	4	2	-3	+1.4	7
8	BW Linz	6	2	0	4	-1	-2.1	6
9	Austria Vienna	6	2	0	4	-6	-0.2	6
10	Ried	6	1	2	3	-4	-1.5	5
11	Hartberg	4	1	1	2	-1	+0.2	4
12	Sturm Graz	4	1	0	3	-3	+0.0	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Sturm Graz	7	6	0	1	+11	+3.6	18
2	SK Rapid	6	4	1	1	+4	-0.0	13
3	Hartberg	8	3	3	2	+2	-0.4	12
4	Wolfsberger AC	5	3	2	0	+6	+0.2	11
5	Salzburg	5	3	1	1	+3	+1.5	10
6	Austria Vienna	6	3	1	2	+2	+0.1	10
7	Ried	6	3	0	3	+0	-1.7	9
8	LASK	6	2	0	4	-4	-1.4	6
9	Altach	6	1	2	3	-2	-1.5	5
10	BW Linz	6	1	1	4	-7	-0.8	4
11	Tirol	5	0	3	2	-5	+1.4	3
12	Grazer AK	5	0	2	3	-9	-2.7	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.