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Super League

Referee: G Kokkinos

Aris Thessalonikis

U T U S S

3–1

Full-time

OFI Crete

U S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aris Thessalonikis OFI Crete

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,5

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 17%

17%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

1,8

2,3

Scored

1,0

Conceded

0,8

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Super League · 29/33 matches

Win Ø 34%

28%

39%

Points per game

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 46%

28%

64%

Both score Ø 44%

48%

39%

Average goals

1,9

2,9

Scored

0,9

1,3

Conceded

1,0

1,6

Goal diff per game

-0,1

-0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

1,76 xG 1,53

48% Possession 52%

15 Shots 15

5 Shots on target 5

3 Blocked shots 3

4 Goalkeeper saves 2

5 Corners 5

2 Offside 0

13 Free kicks against 9

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Aris Thessalonikis 10. · OFI Crete 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	AEK	31	21	8	2	+37	+12.3	71
2	PAOK	31	19	8	4	+36	+5.2	65
3	Olympiakos	31	19	8	4	+34	+13.4	65
4	Panathinaikos	31	15	10	6	+18	+6.5	55
5	Levadeiakos	32	13	10	9	+15	-5.5	49
6	OFI Crete	33	13	3	17	-10	-7.0	42
7	Atromitos	35	10	11	14	-2	-0.8	41
8	Aris	30	9	13	8	-2	–	40
9	Kifisia	35	8	14	13	-10	+3.0	38
10	Aris Thessalonikis	29	8	13	8	-4	-1.2	37
11	Panetolikos	35	10	7	18	-14	-6.3	37
12	Volos NFC	32	9	6	17	-19	-1.6	33
13	Asteras Tripolis	35	6	12	17	-16	-3.3	30
14	Panserraikos	35	7	9	19	-41	-6.9	30
15	Larisa	35	5	14	16	-22	-7.7	29

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	PAOK	16	13	3	0	+28	+4.5	42
2	AEK	15	13	1	1	+24	+7.6	40
3	Olympiakos	15	10	3	2	+19	+4.9	33
4	Levadeiakos	17	9	5	3	+20	-0.6	32
5	Panathinaikos	16	9	5	2	+15	+1.8	32
6	OFI Crete	17	8	0	9	+4	-2.9	24
7	Aris	15	4	9	2	+2	–	21
8	Volos NFC	15	5	6	4	-3	+4.3	21
9	Asteras Tripolis	17	5	5	7	+1	+0.7	20
10	Aris Thessalonikis	14	3	9	2	+0	+4.0	18
11	Kifisia	17	4	6	7	-3	+2.9	18
12	Atromitos	18	4	6	8	-4	+0.9	18
13	Larisa	18	3	8	7	-10	-0.3	17
14	Panetolikos	17	4	2	11	-11	-0.5	14
15	Panserraikos	18	3	5	10	-21	-5.2	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Olympiakos	16	9	5	2	+15	+8.5	32
2	AEK	16	8	7	1	+13	+4.7	31
3	PAOK	15	6	5	4	+8	+0.6	23
4	Panathinaikos	15	6	5	4	+3	+4.7	23
5	Atromitos	17	6	5	6	+2	-1.7	23
6	Panetolikos	18	6	5	7	-3	-5.8	23
7	Kifisia	18	4	8	6	-7	+0.1	20
8	Aris Thessalonikis	15	5	4	6	-4	-5.2	19
9	Aris	15	5	4	6	-4	–	19
10	OFI Crete	16	5	3	8	-14	-4.2	18
11	Levadeiakos	15	4	5	6	-5	-4.9	17
12	Panserraikos	17	4	4	9	-20	-1.7	16
13	Larisa	17	2	6	9	-12	-7.4	12
14	Volos NFC	17	4	0	13	-16	-5.8	12
15	Asteras Tripolis	18	1	7	10	-17	-4.1	10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.