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2. Bundesliga
Referee: L Benen
1–1
Full-time
Darmstadt
T T T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Preußen Münster Darmstadt
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,5
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
3,3
3,5
Scored
1,2
1,3
Conceded
2,2
2,2
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 32/32 matches
Win Ø 30%
19%
41%
Points per game
0,9
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 61%
63%
59%
Both score Ø 68%
72%
63%
Average goals
2,9
3,1
Scored
1,2
1,8
Conceded
1,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,6
+0,4
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

0,99 xG 2,33
27% Possession 73%
10 Shots 22
4 Shots on target 7
4 Blocked shots 6
6 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 7
1 Offside 0
11 Free kicks against 10
3 Yellow cards 1
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Preußen Münster 18. · Darmstadt 5.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Schalke 04 33 20 7 6 +18 +16.6 67
2 Elversberg 32 17 8 7 +24 +8.7 59
3 Hannover 33 16 11 6 +16 +12.5 59
4 Paderborn 33 17 8 8 +12 +13.6 59
5 Darmstadt 32 13 12 7 +14 +1.0 51
6 Kaiserslautern 33 15 4 14 +4 -2.3 49
7 Hertha 32 13 9 10 +7 -1.9 48
8 Nurnberg 33 12 9 12 +2 +1.5 45
9 Karlsruhe 33 12 8 13 -10 -19.7 44
10 Bochum 33 10 11 12 +1 +4.1 41
11 Holstein Kiel 33 11 8 14 -3 -11.6 41
12 Magdeburg 33 12 3 18 -5 +6.8 39
13 Dresden 33 10 8 15 +0 +3.6 38
14 Braunschweig 33 10 7 16 -17 -4.3 37
15 Bielefeld 33 9 9 15 -3 +2.2 36
16 Fortuna Dusseldorf 32 10 4 18 -19 -6.4 34
17 Greuther Furth 32 9 7 16 -21 -10.7 34
18 Preußen Münster 32 6 11 15 -20 -13.7 29

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Preußen Münster Darmstadt
1–0 S. Yamada
J. Hendrix
8′
9′
🔁 G. Dettoni
↦ P. Pfeiffer
14′
🟨 Matej Maglica
15′
I. Lidberg 1–1
Jorrit Hendrix 🟥
28′
Half-time 1–1
M. Meyerhofer 🔁
↦ M. Schulz
46′
Luca Bolay 🟨
61′
62′
🔁 F. Lakenmacher
↦ N. Schmidt
T. Raschl 🔁
↦ L. Bolay
65′
O. Vilhelmsson 🔁
↦ S. Yamada
76′
85′
🔁 B. Bialek
↦ M. Maglica
Jannis Heuer 🟨
88′
Torge Paetow 🟨
88′
L. Lokotsch 🔁
↦ Y. Bouchama
94′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Preußen Münster

5-3-2
1 J. Schenk G
14 C. Makridis D
22 J. Heuer D
16 T. Paetow D
24 N. Koulis D
25 L. Bolay D
10 M. Schulz M
20 J. Hendrix M
5 Y. Bouchama M
29 I. Rondic F
9 S. Yamada F
Bench (9)
26 M. Behrens
21 R. Preissinger
28 M. Meyerhofer
32 T. Raschl
17 O. Batista Meier
11 O. Vilhelmsson
3 P. Jaeckel
13 L. Lokotsch
46 M. Demirhan

Coach: Kieran Schulze-Marmeling

Darmstadt

3-4-2-1
1 M. Schuhen G
17 K. Klefisch D
6 P. Pfeiffer D
5 M. Maglica D
44 Y. Furukawa M
16 H. Akiyama M
31 N. Schmidt M
18 R. Petretta M
23 M. Richter F
34 K. Corredor F
7 I. Lidberg F
Bench (6)
30 A. Brunst
27 B. Bialek
4 G. Dettoni
19 F. Lakenmacher
22 S. Guler
49 M. Pfister

Coach: Florian Kohfeldt

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,23
U ✓
3,64
B
2,71
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,55
U2,5 ✓
2,30
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

L Benen · 21 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,40 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.