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Pro League

Referee: E Lambrechts

St. Gilloise

S S U S T

3–0

Full-time

Mechelen

T T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St. Gilloise Mechelen

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

67%

17%

Points per game

2,2

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,0

3,2

Scored

1,3

0,8

Conceded

0,7

2,3

Goal diff per game

+0,7

-1,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Pro League · 26/26 matches

Win Ø 54%

65%

42%

Points per game

2,3

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 40%

42%

38%

Both score Ø 56%

50%

62%

Average goals

2,2

2,6

Scored

1,7

1,3

Conceded

0,5

1,3

Goal diff per game

+1,2

+0,1

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

2,54 xG 0,37

44% Possession 56%

14 Shots 5

6 Shots on target 1

2 Blocked shots 0

1 Goalkeeper saves 3

3 Corners 3

0 Offside 2

11 Free kicks against 7

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match St. Gilloise 2. · Mechelen 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Club Brugge	27	22	1	4	+33	+20.7	67
2	St. Gilloise	26	17	8	1	+30	+21.4	59
3	St Truiden	27	16	3	8	+14	+14.0	51
4	Mechelen	26	11	8	7	+2	-10.2	41
5	Waregem	30	12	4	14	-1	-4.9	40
6	Gent	26	11	6	9	+3	+3.1	39
7	Genk	25	10	8	7	+4	+10.3	38
8	Cercle Brugge	30	10	7	13	-2	+3.7	37
9	Standard	27	10	6	11	-6	-10.4	36
10	Antwerp	27	10	5	12	-1	+0.1	35
11	Anderlecht	27	9	7	11	-2	-1.1	34
12	Charleroi	27	9	5	13	-3	-4.3	32
13	Westerlo	26	8	8	10	-5	-1.8	32
14	RAAL La Louviere	30	5	10	15	-17	-10.8	25
15	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	27	5	8	14	-18	-9.6	23
16	Dender	30	4	6	20	-31	-20.1	18

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	St. Gilloise	13	12	1	0	+23	+13.4	37
2	Club Brugge	13	10	1	2	+17	+10.3	31
3	St Truiden	13	9	0	4	+4	+8.7	27
4	Waregem	15	7	2	6	+4	+1.3	23
5	Gent	13	6	3	4	+6	+0.5	21
6	Genk	13	5	5	3	+4	+9.8	20
7	Mechelen	14	5	4	5	-1	-3.1	19
8	Antwerp	14	5	3	6	-3	+1.2	18
9	Anderlecht	13	4	4	5	+3	+4.4	16
10	Westerlo	14	4	4	6	-2	-1.3	16
11	Charleroi	13	4	3	6	-1	-0.6	15
12	RAAL La Louviere	15	3	6	6	-4	-2.5	15
13	Cercle Brugge	15	3	3	9	-7	+1.4	12
14	Standard	13	2	5	6	-8	-2.9	11
15	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	13	2	4	7	-6	-3.2	10
16	Dender	15	2	2	11	-19	-10.1	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Club Brugge	14	12	0	2	+16	+10.4	36
2	Cercle Brugge	15	7	4	4	+5	+2.2	25
3	Standard	14	8	1	5	+2	-7.6	25
4	St Truiden	14	7	3	4	+10	+5.3	24
5	St. Gilloise	13	5	7	1	+7	+8.1	22
6	Mechelen	12	6	4	2	+3	-7.2	22
7	Genk	12	5	3	4	+0	+0.6	18
8	Gent	13	5	3	5	-3	+2.6	18
9	Anderlecht	14	5	3	6	-5	-5.5	18
10	Antwerp	13	5	2	6	+2	-1.1	17
11	Charleroi	14	5	2	7	-2	-3.7	17
12	Waregem	15	5	2	8	-5	-6.2	17
13	Westerlo	12	4	4	4	-3	-0.5	16
14	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	14	3	4	7	-12	-6.3	13
15	Dender	15	2	4	9	-12	-10.0	10
16	RAAL La Louviere	15	2	4	9	-13	-8.3	10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.