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Premiership
Referee: B Madden
Ross County
T T S U T
4–1
Full-time
Aberdeen
S U S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ross County Aberdeen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,7
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
17%
33%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,3
1,7
Scored
0,7
1,2
Conceded
1,7
0,5
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+0,7
This season — Premiership · 23/21 matches
Win Ø 35%
17%
52%
Points per game
0,7
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 41%
39%
43%
Both score Ø 37%
35%
38%
Average goals
2,4
2,3
Scored
0,6
1,3
Conceded
1,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,2
+0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

41% Possession 59%
9 Shots 15
5 Shots on target 5
2 Blocked shots 4
5 Goalkeeper saves 1
6 Corners 6
3 Offside 1
20 Free kicks against 9
3 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ross County 12. · Aberdeen 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rangers 23 21 2 0 +53 65
2 Celtic 20 13 5 2 +30 44
3 Aberdeen 21 11 6 4 +8 39
4 Hibernian 23 10 7 6 +7 37
5 Livingston 21 9 3 9 +1 30
6 Dundee United 23 6 9 8 -10 27
7 Kilmarnock 22 7 3 12 -2 24
8 St Mirren 20 6 5 9 -7 23
9 ST Johnstone 23 4 8 11 -12 20
10 Motherwell 21 4 6 11 -14 18
11 Hamilton 22 5 3 14 -26 18
12 Ross County 23 4 5 14 -28 17

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ross County Aberdeen
1–0 O. Shaw
J. Hylton
1′
2–0 C. Lakin
H. Paton
20′
31′
🔁 S. Logan
↦ A. Taylor
Half-time 3–0
46′
A. Iacovitti 3–0
own goal
Callum Morris 🟨
49′
Regan Charles-Cook 🟨
59′
64′
🔁 K. Ngwenya
↦ J. Hayes
R. Draper 🔁
↦ R. Charles-Cook
65′
76′
🔁 B. Anderson
↦ C. Main
4–0 O. Shaw
R. Draper
84′
Oli Shaw 🟨
87′
B. McKay 🔁
↦ O. Shaw
88′
5–0 J. Hylton
93′
Full-time 5–0

Line-ups

Ross County

4-3-3
1 R. Laidlaw G
5 C. Morris D
23 J. Naismith D
2 C. Randall D
16 A. Iacovitti D
11 I. Vigurs M
14 J. Hylton F
17 R. Charles-Cook F
24 H. Paton M
19 C. Lakin M
8 O. Shaw F
Bench (9)
6 R. Draper
9 B. McKay
28 T. Andreu
43 J. Reid
15 K. Watson
7 M. Gardyne
22 J. Tillson
18 S. Kelly
31 R. Munro

Coach: J. Hughes

Aberdeen

3-4-1-2
1 J. Lewis G
4 A. Considine D
14 A. Taylor D
3 T. Hoban D
17 J. Hayes M
33 M. Kennedy M
25 S. Wright F
40 R. McCrorie M
19 L. Ferguson M
9 C. Main F
16 S. Cosgrove F
Bench (9)
2 S. Logan
37 K. Ngwenya
21 B. Anderson
18 C. McLennan
24 D. Campbell
43 G. Woods
10 N. McGinn
8 F. Ojo
26 M. Virtanen

Coach: D. McInnes

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
4,75
U
3,56
B
1,75
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,13
U2,5
1,70
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

B Madden · 56 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,8 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.