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Pro League
Referee: N Laforge
Charleroi
S S S T T
0–1
Full-time
Mechelen
T S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Charleroi Mechelen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,7
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
67%
100%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,2
3,3
Scored
1,7
1,8
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,3
This season — Pro League · 22/20 matches
Win Ø 43%
45%
40%
Points per game
1,5
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 65%
50%
80%
Both score Ø 65%
55%
75%
Average goals
2,8
3,5
Scored
1,5
1,7
Conceded
1,3
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

43% Possession 57%
10 Shots 10
5 Shots on target 1
0 Goalkeeper saves 5
7 Corners 4
2 Offside 1
14 Free kicks against 21
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Charleroi 6. · Mechelen 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Waregem 25 13 3 9 +6 42
2 Genk 22 11 7 4 +17 40
3 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 23 11 6 6 +8 39
4 Club Brugge 19 11 4 4 +24 37
5 Antwerp 19 10 5 4 +11 35
6 Charleroi 22 10 4 8 +5 34
7 Beerschot VA 22 10 3 9 -2 33
8 Kortrijk 23 9 5 9 -2 32
9 Eupen 23 7 10 6 -5 31
10 Anderlecht 20 7 9 4 +8 30
11 Standard 20 8 6 6 +5 30
12 Gent 20 9 2 9 +7 29
13 Oostende 20 8 5 7 +4 29
14 Mechelen 20 8 4 8 -2 28
15 Cercle Brugge 22 7 1 14 -8 22
16 St Truiden 22 5 6 11 -10 21
17 Mouscron 21 5 5 11 -13 20
18 Royal Excel Mouscron 21 5 5 11 -13 20
19 Waasland-Beveren 21 5 4 12 -20 19
20 Beveren 21 5 4 12 -20 19

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Charleroi Mechelen
8′
🔁 I. Kaboré
↦ S. Bateau
30′
🟨 Rob Schoofs
Half-time 0–0
Shamar Nicholson 🟨
46′
59′
G. Hairemans 0–1
M. Bruno 🔁
↦ M. Fall
66′
S. Berahino 🔁
↦ K. Rezaei
66′
73′
🔁 A. Vranckx
↦ M. Shved
73′
🔁 F. Druijf
↦ G. Engvall
A. Benchaib 🔁
↦ G. Gillet
79′
92′
🔁 O. Kaya
↦ K. Mrabti
92′
🔁 I. de Camargo
↦ G. Hairemans
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Charleroi

4-1-3-2
1 N. Penneteau G
24 D. Dessoleil D
5 M. Diagne D
12 J. Kayembe F
4 J. Van Cleemput D
30 G. Gillet M
44 R. Morioka M
27 M. Fall F
8 A. Gholizadeh F
10 K. Rezaei F
16 S. Nicholson F
Bench (7)
77 M. Bruno
38 S. Berahino
34 A. Benchaib
22 G. Hendrickx
40 R. Descamps
29 R. Akbib
26 M. Ilaimaharitra

Coach: K. Belhocine

Mechelen

4-2-3-1
15 Y. Thoelen G
4 S. Bateau D
3 L. Bijker D
5 S. Walsh D
23 T. Peyre D
7 G. Hairemans M
13 J. Van Damme M
16 R. Schoofs M
19 K. Mrabti M
20 G. Engvall F
35 M. Shved F
Bench (7)
29 I. Kaboré
40 A. Vranckx
9 F. Druijf
8 O. Kaya
10 I. de Camargo
1 G. Coucke
88 S. Defour

Coach: W. Vrancken

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,11
U
3,64
B ✓
3,20
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,79
U2,5 ✓
2,01
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

N Laforge · 128 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.