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Championship
Referee: G Eltringham
Blackburn
S T U T S
1–1
Full-time
Stoke
U S U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Blackburn Stoke
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
50%
0%
Both score Ø 42%
67%
17%
Average goals
2,3
0,7
Scored
1,2
0,3
Conceded
1,2
0,3
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,0
This season — Championship · 23/23 matches
Win Ø 39%
39%
39%
Points per game
1,4
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 46%
61%
30%
Both score Ø 44%
52%
35%
Average goals
2,8
2,1
Scored
1,7
1,1
Conceded
1,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

54% Possession 46%
7 Shots 14
3 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
2 Corners 7
2 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 14
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Blackburn 11. · Stoke 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Norwich 23 14 5 4 +11 47
2 Bournemouth 22 11 9 2 +20 42
3 Reading 23 12 4 7 +6 40
4 Swansea 21 11 6 4 +12 39
5 Brentford 20 10 7 3 +14 37
6 Watford 22 10 7 5 +8 37
7 Middlesbrough 23 10 6 7 +9 36
8 Stoke 23 9 8 6 +4 35
9 Barnsley 22 10 4 8 +0 34
10 Bristol City 22 10 3 9 -1 33
11 Blackburn 23 9 5 9 +11 32
12 Preston 23 10 2 11 -1 32
13 Huddersfield 23 9 4 10 -4 31
14 Luton 23 8 6 9 -6 30
15 Cardiff 22 8 5 9 +4 29
16 Millwall 22 5 11 6 -2 26
17 Coventry 23 6 8 9 -9 26
18 Birmingham 24 6 8 10 -11 26
19 Sheffield Weds 23 6 7 10 -8 25
20 QPR 23 5 9 9 -8 24
21 Nott'm Forest 23 5 7 11 -10 22
22 Derby 22 4 7 11 -10 19
23 Rotherham 20 4 4 12 -10 16
24 Wycombe 23 3 6 14 -19 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Blackburn Stoke
Lewis Travis 🟨
36′
38′
N. Powell 0–1
J. Thompson
Half-time 0–1
J. Davenport 🔁
↦ B. Johnson
46′
S. Gallagher 🔁
↦ J. Rothwell
46′
48′
🟨 Jordan Thompson
B. Brereton 🔁
↦ S. Gallagher
61′
61′
🔁 J. Clarke
↦ N. Powell
L. Holtby 🔁
↦ L. Travis
64′
71′
🟨 Rhys Norrington Davies
J. Buckley 🔁
↦ B. Dack
72′
1–1 J. Buckley
H. Elliott
76′
79′
🟥 James Chester
83′
🔁 J. Cousins
↦ J. Allen
83′
🔁 D. Batth
↦ R. Matondo
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Blackburn

4-3-3
1 T. Kaminski G
15 B. Douglas D
26 D. Lenihan D
27 L. Travis M
2 R. Nyambe D
30 J. Branthwaite D
4 B. Johnson M
8 J. Rothwell F
23 B. Dack M
16 H. Elliott F
7 A. Armstrong F
Bench (9)
18 J. Davenport
9 S. Gallagher
20 B. Brereton
10 L. Holtby
21 J. Buckley
39 T. Dolan
19 T. Trybull
13 A. Pears
6 S. Downing

Coach: T. Mowbray

Stoke

3-5-2
32 J. Bursik G
12 J. Chester D
36 H. Souttar D
37 N. Collins D
46 R. Norrington-Davies M
13 M. Obi M
4 J. Allen M
25 N. Powell F
34 J. Thompson M
49 R. Matondo M
18 J. Brown F
Bench (9)
47 J. Clarke
24 J. Cousins
6 D. Batth
14 T. Smith
40 B. Noukeu
22 S. Clucas
20 T. Oakley-Boothe
7 T. Ince
9 S. Vokes

Coach: M. O'Neill

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,09
U ✓
3,27
B
3,70
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,15
U2,5 ✓
1,70
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

G Eltringham · 124 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,6 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.