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Eredivisie
Referee: B Kuipers
AZ Alkmaar
S S U U S
2–1
Full-time
Den Haag
U T T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

AZ Alkmaar Den Haag
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
67%
17%
Points per game
2,3
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
83%
33%
Both score Ø 84%
100%
67%
Average goals
4,3
3,0
Scored
2,8
1,0
Conceded
1,5
2,0
Goal diff per game
+1,3
-1,0
This season — Eredivisie · 16/16 matches
Win Ø 32%
50%
13%
Points per game
1,9
0,6
Over 2.5 Ø 66%
81%
50%
Both score Ø 69%
81%
56%
Average goals
3,9
3,4
Scored
2,4
0,9
Conceded
1,5
2,4
Goal diff per game
+0,9
-1,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

67% Possession 33%
19 Shots 3
5 Shots on target 2
5 Blocked shots 0
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
17 Corners 0
1 Offside 2
5 Free kicks against 6
0 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match AZ Alkmaar 5. · Den Haag 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ajax 16 12 2 2 +44 38
2 Vitesse 17 12 2 3 +18 38
3 PSV Eindhoven 17 11 4 2 +22 37
4 Feyenoord 14 10 3 1 +20 33
5 AZ Alkmaar 16 8 7 1 +15 31
6 Groningen 15 9 2 4 +4 29
7 Twente 16 8 3 5 +9 27
8 Heerenveen 16 5 6 5 -1 21
9 Sparta Rotterdam 16 6 2 8 -2 20
10 Utrecht 15 4 7 4 -2 19
11 For Sittard 17 5 4 8 -9 19
12 Heracles 17 5 3 9 -9 18
13 Zwolle 17 3 8 6 -9 17
14 VVV Venlo 16 4 3 9 -18 15
15 Waalwijk 16 3 4 9 -14 13
16 Den Haag 16 2 4 10 -24 10
17 Willem II 16 2 3 11 -16 9
18 FC Emmen 17 0 5 12 -28 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

AZ Alkmaar Den Haag
Half-time 0–0
56′
🔁 S. Pinas
↦ J. Familio-Castillo
58′
M. Kramer 0–1
T. Reijnders 🔁
↦ B. Martins Indi
62′
H. Evjen 🔁
↦ A. Guðmundsson
63′
Z. Aboukhlal 🔁
↦ J. Karlsson
63′
T. Letschert 🔁
↦ P. Chatzidiakos
63′
72′
🔁 K. de Boer
↦ S. Bourard
72′
🔁 B. Ould-Chikh
↦ V. Besuijen
1–1 Z. Aboukhlal
F. Midtsjø
72′
79′
🔁 N. Karelis
↦ M. Kramer
2–1 Z. Aboukhlal
89′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

AZ Alkmaar

4-3-3
1 M. Bizot G
15 B. Martins Indi D
3 P. Chatzidiakos D
5 O. Wijndal D
26 Y. Sugawara D
6 F. Midtsjø M
8 T. Koopmeiners M
28 A. Guðmundsson F
11 J. Karlsson F
9 M. Boadu F
7 C. Stengs M
Bench (11)
24 T. Reijnders
18 H. Evjen
17 Z. Aboukhlal
22 T. Letschert
40 M. Gullit
21 K. Goudmijn
30 M. Bakker
20 J. Clasie
25 T. Oosting
16 H. Verhulst
27 R. Leeuwin

Coach: P. Jansen

Den Haag

4-3-3
1 L. Koopmans G
15 D. Del Fabro D
4 B. Kemper D
7 A. Rațiu M
2 M. van Ewijk D
88 M. Vejinovic M
8 J. Goossens M
11 S. Bourard F
5 J. Familio-Castillo D
29 M. Kramer F
20 V. Besuijen F
Bench (12)
19 S. Pinas
14 K. de Boer
21 B. Ould-Chikh
17 N. Karelis
23 Pascu
22 R. Zwinkels
6 D. Rigo
18 D. Philipp
31 R. Kishna
35 Y. Schoonderwaldt
9 J. Arweiler
25 J. Amofa

Coach: R. Brood

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,12
U
8,78
B
18,66
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,30
U2,5
3,48
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

B Kuipers · 20 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,1 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
21,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.