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Championship
Referee: O Langford
Brentford
U U S S S
2–2
Full-time
Blackburn
S U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Brentford Blackburn
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,3
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
17%
67%
Average goals
1,5
2,5
Scored
1,3
1,8
Conceded
0,2
0,7
Goal diff per game
+1,2
+1,2
This season — Championship · 14/15 matches
Win Ø 49%
50%
47%
Points per game
1,8
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 55%
43%
67%
Both score Ø 45%
43%
47%
Average goals
2,4
3,1
Scored
1,5
1,9
Conceded
0,9
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,6
+0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

67% Possession 33%
15 Shots 7
3 Shots on target 2
6 Blocked shots 4
0 Goalkeeper saves 1
4 Corners 2
0 Offside 3
11 Free kicks against 8
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Brentford 6. · Blackburn 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bournemouth 16 8 6 2 +13 30
2 Reading 16 9 3 4 +7 30
3 Norwich 15 8 4 3 +5 28
4 Watford 15 7 6 2 +8 27
5 Bristol City 15 8 3 4 +4 27
6 Brentford 14 7 4 3 +9 25
7 Swansea 14 7 4 3 +7 25
8 Stoke 15 7 4 4 +4 25
9 Blackburn 15 7 3 5 +12 24
10 Middlesbrough 15 6 6 3 +6 24
11 Luton 15 6 4 5 -4 22
12 Cardiff 15 5 5 5 +7 20
13 Millwall 15 4 8 3 +1 20
14 Preston 15 6 1 8 -3 19
15 Barnsley 16 5 4 7 -4 19
16 Huddersfield 15 5 3 7 -4 18
17 QPR 15 4 5 6 -5 17
18 Birmingham 15 3 7 5 -3 16
19 Sheffield Weds 15 3 6 6 -5 15
20 Coventry 15 3 5 7 -10 14
21 Rotherham 15 3 4 8 -6 13
22 Nott'm Forest 16 3 4 9 -10 13
23 Wycombe 15 2 4 9 -14 10
24 Derby 15 1 5 9 -15 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Brentford Blackburn
Marcus Forss 🟨
5′
10′
🟨 Barry Douglas
16′
🔁 Daniel Ayala
↦ S. Wharton
18′
J. Rothwell 0–1
H. Elliott
27′
🟨 Darragh Lenihan
Vitaly Janelt 🟨
31′
36′
🟥 Darragh Lenihan
1–1 I. Toney
37′
38′
🔁 J. Buckley
↦ T. Trybull
Half-time 1–1
E. Marcondes 🔁
↦ V. Janelt
46′
46′
🔁 A. Bell
↦ B. Douglas
49′
🟨 Joe Rothwell
57′
🟨 Bradley Johnson
2–1 Sergi Canós
J. Dasilva
61′
63′
🔁 T. Dolan
↦ A. Armstrong
64′
🔁 J. Davenport
↦ J. Rothwell
B. Mbeumo 🔁
↦ M. Forss
71′
T. Fosu 🔁
↦ Sergi Canós
77′
D. Thompson 🔁
↦ R. Henry
81′
S. Ghoddos 🔁
↦ J. Dasilva
81′
Tarique Fosu-Henry 🟨
82′
87′
J. Davenport 2–2
T. Dolan
90′
🟨 Thomas Kaminski
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Brentford

4-3-3
1 David Raya G
22 H. Dalsgaard D
18 P. Jansson D
3 R. Henry D
5 E. Pinnock D
7 Sergi Canós F
8 M. Jensen M
27 V. Janelt M
17 I. Toney F
14 J. Dasilva M
15 M. Forss F
Bench (9)
9 E. Marcondes
19 B. Mbeumo
24 T. Fosu
2 D. Thompson
20 S. Ghoddos
34 A. Presley
28 L. Daniels
29 M. Sørensen
36 F. Stevens

Coach: T. Frank

Blackburn

4-3-3
1 T. Kaminski G
15 B. Douglas D
26 D. Lenihan D
28 S. Wharton D
2 R. Nyambe D
4 B. Johnson M
19 T. Trybull M
8 J. Rothwell M
16 H. Elliott F
7 A. Armstrong F
9 S. Gallagher F
Bench (9)
5 Daniel Ayala
21 J. Buckley
17 A. Bell
39 T. Dolan
18 J. Davenport
13 A. Pears
6 S. Downing
10 L. Holtby
11 H. Chapman

Coach: T. Mowbray

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,96
U ✓
3,50
B
3,85
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,91
U2,5
1,89
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

O Langford · 173 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.