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2. Bundesliga
Referee: M Bacher
3–3
Full-time
Hannover
T S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fortuna Dusseldorf Hannover
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,8
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
50%
100%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,5
3,8
Scored
1,5
1,7
Conceded
1,0
2,2
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,5
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 32/32 matches
Win Ø 44%
50%
38%
Points per game
1,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
59%
56%
Both score Ø 60%
56%
63%
Average goals
2,9
2,9
Scored
1,7
1,4
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,4
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

57% Possession 43%
17 Shots 14
10 Shots on target 7
2 Blocked shots 1
4 Goalkeeper saves 5
5 Corners 4
2 Offside 0
9 Free kicks against 10
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Fortuna Dusseldorf 6. · Hannover 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Darmstadt 33 20 7 6 +21 67
2 Heidenheim 33 18 10 5 +30 64
3 Hamburg 33 19 6 8 +24 63
4 St Pauli 33 16 9 8 +16 57
5 Paderborn 33 16 7 10 +25 55
6 Fortuna Dusseldorf 32 16 6 10 +14 54
7 Kaiserslautern 32 11 12 9 +4 45
8 Hannover 32 12 7 13 -1 43
9 Holstein Kiel 33 11 10 12 -7 43
10 Karlsruhe 32 12 6 14 +1 42
11 Magdeburg 33 11 7 15 -11 40
12 Greuther Furth 33 9 11 13 -7 38
13 Hansa Rostock 32 11 4 17 -17 37
14 Braunschweig 33 9 9 15 -16 36
15 Nurnberg 32 9 8 15 -18 35
16 Bielefeld 33 9 7 17 -8 34
17 Regensburg 33 8 7 18 -23 31
18 Sandhausen 33 7 7 19 -27 28

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Fortuna Dusseldorf Hannover
12′
C. Teuchert 0–1
D. Köhn
21′
L. Schaub 0–2
C. Teuchert
1–2 F. Klaus
30′
36′
🟨 Håvard Nielsen
Half-time 2–2
2–2 F. Klaus
N. Gavory
52′
54′
🟨 Max Besuschkow
Felix Klaus 🟨
67′
D. Ginczek 🔁
↦ T. Oberdorf
67′
M. Karbownik 🔁
↦ Elione Neto
67′
68′
🔁 M. Beier
↦ C. Teuchert
R. Hennings 🔁
↦ E. Iyoha
74′
3–2 D. Ginczek
F. Klaus
77′
78′
🔁 H. Weydandt
↦ L. Schaub
J. de Wijs 🔁
↦ F. Klaus
81′
K. Peterson 🔁
↦ D. Kownacki
82′
Christoph Klarer 🟨
83′
87′
🔁 S. Ernst
↦ M. Besuschkow
87′
🔁 A. Fóti
↦ H. Nielsen
89′
M. Beier 3–3
F. Kunze
Andre Hoffmann 🟨
91′
Full-time 3–3

Line-ups

Fortuna Dusseldorf

4-2-3-1
33 F. Kastenmeier G
25 M. Zimmermann D
3 A. Hoffmann D
5 C. Klarer D
34 N. Gavory D
15 T. Oberdorf M
46 Elione Neto M
11 F. Klaus M
23 S. Appelkamp M
19 E. Iyoha M
9 D. Kownacki F
Bench (9)
10 D. Ginczek
8 M. Karbownik
28 R. Hennings
30 J. de Wijs
7 K. Peterson
21 D. Gorka
22 B. Böckle
39 J. Niemiec
41 T. Uchino

Coach: D. Thioune

Hannover

3-4-1-2
1 R. Zieler G
20 J. Dehm D
34 Y. Lührs D
4 B. Arrey-Mbi D
21 S. Muroya M
7 M. Besuschkow M
6 F. Kunze M
18 D. Köhn M
11 L. Schaub F
16 H. Nielsen F
36 C. Teuchert F
Bench (9)
14 M. Beier
9 H. Weydandt
10 S. Ernst
24 A. Fóti
8 E. Leopold
3 E. Çelebi
38 T. Momuluh
30 L. Weinkauf
22 S. Stolze

Coach: S. Leitl

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,68
U ✓
4,30
B
4,31
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,44
U2,5
2,71
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Bacher · 49 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,2 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
25,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.