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2. Bundesliga

Referee: F Exner

Holstein Kiel

U S S T U

1–0

Full-time

Karlsruhe

U T U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Holstein Kiel Karlsruhe

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,3

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

67%

83%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

3,5

4,2

Scored

2,0

2,7

Conceded

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+1,2

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 24/24 matches

Win Ø 46%

54%

38%

Points per game

1,8

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 69%

63%

75%

Both score Ø 65%

63%

67%

Average goals

3,3

3,7

Scored

1,9

2,0

Conceded

1,4

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+0,3

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

55% Possession 45%

18 Shots 14

9 Shots on target 4

4 Blocked shots 3

4 Goalkeeper saves 5

8 Corners 8

4 Offside 2

15 Free kicks against 14

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Holstein Kiel 2. · Karlsruhe 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	St Pauli	24	13	9	2	+19	48
2	Holstein Kiel	24	13	4	7	+12	43
3	Hamburg	25	12	5	8	+10	41
4	Fortuna Dusseldorf	25	11	7	7	+18	40
5	Hannover	24	10	8	6	+12	38
6	Greuther Furth	24	11	5	8	+3	38
7	Paderborn	24	11	5	8	-2	38
8	Karlsruhe	24	9	8	7	+8	35
9	Hertha	24	9	7	8	+6	34
10	Nurnberg	24	9	6	9	-9	33
11	Elversberg	24	9	5	10	-5	32
12	Magdeburg	24	8	7	9	+5	31
13	Wehen	24	8	6	10	-1	30
14	Schalke 04	24	9	2	13	-9	29
15	Kaiserslautern	24	7	4	13	-10	25
16	Hansa Rostock	25	7	4	14	-18	25
17	Braunschweig	25	7	3	15	-15	24
18	Osnabruck	24	3	9	12	-24	18

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	St Pauli	12	7	5	0	+15	26
2	Greuther Furth	12	8	2	2	+13	26
3	Hannover	12	7	4	1	+16	25
4	Hamburg	12	8	0	4	+10	24
5	Karlsruhe	13	6	5	2	+9	23
6	Schalke 04	12	7	1	4	+7	22
7	Magdeburg	12	6	3	3	+8	21
8	Fortuna Dusseldorf	13	6	3	4	+5	21
9	Hertha	12	5	4	3	+12	19
10	Holstein Kiel	12	6	1	5	+2	19
11	Nurnberg	12	5	4	3	+0	19
12	Paderborn	12	5	3	4	+0	18
13	Braunschweig	13	5	3	5	-2	18
14	Elversberg	12	5	2	5	-2	17
15	Wehen	11	4	4	3	+0	16
16	Kaiserslautern	12	5	1	6	-2	16
17	Hansa Rostock	12	4	2	6	-6	14
18	Osnabruck	12	2	5	5	-5	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Holstein Kiel	12	7	3	2	+10	24
2	St Pauli	12	6	4	2	+4	22
3	Paderborn	12	6	2	4	-2	20
4	Fortuna Dusseldorf	12	5	4	3	+13	19
5	Hamburg	13	4	5	4	+0	17
6	Elversberg	12	4	3	5	-3	15
7	Hertha	12	4	3	5	-6	15
8	Wehen	13	4	2	7	-1	14
9	Nurnberg	12	4	2	6	-9	14
10	Hannover	12	3	4	5	-4	13
11	Karlsruhe	11	3	3	5	-1	12
12	Greuther Furth	12	3	3	6	-10	12
13	Hansa Rostock	13	3	2	8	-12	11
14	Magdeburg	12	2	4	6	-3	10
15	Kaiserslautern	12	2	3	7	-8	9
16	Schalke 04	12	2	1	9	-16	7
17	Osnabruck	12	1	4	7	-19	7
18	Braunschweig	12	2	0	10	-13	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.