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LaLiga2
Referee: Alejandro Quintero
Valladolid
U U U S T
2–0
Full-time
Zaragoza
S T T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Valladolid Zaragoza
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,5
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 34%
50%
17%
Average goals
2,0
1,3
Scored
1,3
0,7
Conceded
0,7
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,0
This season — LaLiga2 · 29/29 matches
Win Ø 38%
45%
31%
Points per game
1,6
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 26%
31%
21%
Both score Ø 34%
34%
34%
Average goals
2,1
1,9
Scored
1,1
1,0
Conceded
1,0
0,9
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,1
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

51% Possession 49%
12 Shots 5
3 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
4 Corners 3
1 Offside 3
9 Free kicks against 16
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Valladolid 7. · Zaragoza 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Leganes 29 14 8 7 +20 50
2 Eibar 29 14 7 8 +13 49
3 Espanol 29 13 9 7 +13 48
4 Oviedo 30 12 11 7 +13 47
5 Elche 29 13 8 8 +6 47
6 Sp Gijon 29 12 10 7 +9 46
7 Valladolid 29 13 6 10 +5 45
8 Burgos 29 13 6 10 +1 45
9 Ferrol 29 11 11 7 +1 44
10 Santander 29 12 7 10 +3 43
11 Eldense 29 10 11 8 +1 41
12 Tenerife 29 11 7 11 +0 40
13 Levante 28 9 12 7 +0 39
14 Zaragoza 29 9 10 10 +2 37
15 Huesca 30 8 12 10 +3 36
16 Mirandes 29 8 9 12 -5 33
17 Albacete 30 7 10 13 -9 31
18 Cartagena 29 8 7 14 -13 31
19 Villarreal B 29 7 9 13 -15 30
20 Alcorcon 29 7 8 14 -19 29
21 Andorra 29 7 7 15 -14 28
22 Amorebieta 29 5 9 15 -15 24

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Valladolid Zaragoza
27′
🟨 Jair Amador
Iván Sánchez 🟨
42′
1–0 A. Ndiaye
Marcos André
44′
Half-time 1–0
59′
🔁 Q. Lecoeuche
↦ Jair Amador
59′
🔁 Sergi Enrich
↦ Lucas Terrer
62′
🟨 Quentin Lecoeuche
Álvaro Negredo 🔁
↦ Marcos André
63′
Víctor Meseguer 🔁
↦ Iván Sánchez
63′
Lucas Rosa 🔁
↦ S. Biuk
76′
79′
🔁 Marc Aguado
↦ Jaume Grau
79′
🔁 Pau Sans
↦ Iván Azón
82′
🟨 Marc Aguado
86′
🟨 Sergi Enrich
2–0 A. Ndiaye
Víctor Meseguer
89′
Isra Sala 🔁
↦ A. Ndiaye
92′
David Torres 🔁
↦ Sergio Escudero
92′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Valladolid

4-3-3
1 Jordi Masip G
2 Luis Pérez D
34 César Tárrega D
6 E. Boyomo D
18 Sergio Escudero D
10 Iván Sánchez M
20 S. Jurić M
8 Monchu M
17 S. Biuk F
9 Marcos André F
19 A. Ndiaye F
Bench (9)
21 Álvaro Negredo
4 Víctor Meseguer
22 Lucas Rosa
38 Isra Sala
3 David Torres
12 Lucas Oliveira
5 Javi Sánchez
24 Kenedy
13 André Ferreira

Coach: P. Pezzolano

Zaragoza

4-4-2
25 Edgar Badia G
18 Fran Gámez D
24 Lluís López D
3 Jair Amador D
6 Alejandro Francés D
41 Lucas Terrer M
21 Toni Moya M
5 Jaume Grau M
7 Germán Valera M
11 Maikel Mesa F
9 Iván Azón F
Bench (12)
22 Q. Lecoeuche
23 Sergi Enrich
8 Marc Aguado
29 Pau Sans
34 Marcos Cuenca
19 Manu Vallejo
35 Dani Rebollo
2 A. Zedadka
40 Hugo Barrachina
13 G. Poussin
31 Juan Serrano
26 Alberto Vaquero

Coach: Julio Velázquez

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,97
U
3,06
B
4,31
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,60
U2,5 ✓
1,47
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Alejandro Quintero · 71 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
28,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.