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Serie B
Referee: G Camplone
Cremonese
U U U S S
2–1
Full-time
Como
S T U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cremonese Como
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
2,0
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
1,8
2,2
Scored
1,2
1,3
Conceded
0,7
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,5
This season — Serie B · 28/28 matches
Win Ø 54%
54%
54%
Points per game
1,9
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 49%
43%
54%
Both score Ø 43%
39%
46%
Average goals
2,1
2,5
Scored
1,4
1,4
Conceded
0,7
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,6
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

70% Possession 30%
14 Shots 3
3 Shots on target 1
3 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
7 Corners 1
4 Offside 1
10 Free kicks against 14
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Cremonese 2. · Como 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Parma 29 18 8 3 +26 62
2 Cremonese 28 15 8 5 +18 53
3 Como 28 15 7 6 +9 52
4 Venezia 28 15 6 7 +16 51
5 Catanzaro 28 14 6 8 +9 48
6 Palermo 28 13 7 8 +13 46
7 Brescia 29 9 11 9 +2 38
8 Cittadella 29 10 7 12 -5 37
9 Sampdoria 28 10 6 12 -5 36
10 Modena 29 8 12 9 -5 36
11 Sudtirol 29 9 8 12 -3 35
12 Pisa 28 8 10 10 -1 34
13 Cosenza 29 8 10 11 -1 34
14 Bari 28 7 13 8 -5 34
15 Reggiana 28 6 15 7 -3 33
16 Spezia 29 6 12 11 -14 30
17 Ternana 28 7 8 13 -5 29
18 Ascoli 28 6 10 12 -6 28
19 FeralpiSalo 29 7 6 16 -14 27
20 Lecco 28 5 6 17 -26 21

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Cremonese Como
13′
ℹ️ Gabriel Strefezza
VAR: Card upgrade
14′
🟥 Gabriel Strefezza
31′
🟨 Lucas Da Cunha
1–0 M. Coda
45′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🟨 Oliver Abildgaard
46′
🔁 N. Gioacchini
↦ S. Verdi
46′
🔁 M. Braunöder
↦ A. Bellemo
Michele Castagnetti 🟨
64′
Massimo Coda 🟨
67′
67′
L. da Cunha 1–1
75′
🔁 T. Cassandro
↦ A. Iovine
G. Quagliata 🔁
↦ C. Falletti
79′
D. Ciofani 🔁
↦ L. Sernicola
79′
Ž. Majer 🔁
↦ M. Castagnetti
79′
83′
🔁 N. Ioannou
↦ M. Sala
86′
🔁 F. Barba
↦ A. Gabrielloni
2–1 L. Zanimacchia
F. Vázquez
88′
G. Abrego 🔁
↦ F. Vázquez
91′
P. Ghiglione 🔁
↦ M. Coda
91′
94′
🟨 Edoardo Goldaniga
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Cremonese

3-5-2
22 A. Jungdal G
26 V. Antov D
5 L. Ravanelli D
15 M. Bianchetti D
98 L. Zanimacchia M
6 C. Pickel M
19 M. Castagnetti M
7 C. Falletti M
17 L. Sernicola M
20 F. Vázquez F
90 M. Coda F
Bench (12)
33 G. Quagliata
9 D. Ciofani
37 Ž. Majer
32 G. Abrego
18 P. Ghiglione
74 F. Tsadjout
44 L. Lochoshvili
31 Y. Rocchetti
24 G. Della Rovere
21 G. Saro
11 F. Afena-Gyan
8 M. Collocolo

Coach: G. Stroppa

Como

4-2-3-1
1 A. Šemper G
6 A. Iovine D
2 E. Goldaniga D
26 C. Odenthal D
3 M. Sala D
14 A. Bellemo M
28 O. Abildgaard M
21 Gabriel Strefezza M
90 S. Verdi M
33 L. da Cunha M
9 A. Gabrielloni F
Bench (12)
23 N. Gioacchini
27 M. Braunöder
84 T. Cassandro
44 N. Ioannou
93 F. Barba
7 M. Chajia
22 M. Vigorito
99 T. Fumagalli
5 M. Curto
77 J. Nsame
70 S. Ballet
32 F. Rispoli

Coach: O. Roberts

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,08
U
3,30
B
3,57
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,06
U2,5
1,74
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

G Camplone · 33 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,7 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,45 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.