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Serie B
Referee: A Giua
Pisa
S T T U S
1–0
Full-time
Ternana
U S U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Pisa Ternana
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,8
2,3
Scored
1,5
1,2
Conceded
1,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,0
This season — Serie B · 28/28 matches
Win Ø 27%
29%
25%
Points per game
1,2
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
46%
54%
Both score Ø 64%
64%
64%
Average goals
2,5
2,6
Scored
1,2
1,2
Conceded
1,3
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

64% Possession 36%
16 Shots 15
3 Shots on target 6
8 Blocked shots 2
6 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 8
0 Offside 1
13 Free kicks against 16
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Pisa 12. · Ternana 17.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Parma 29 18 8 3 +26 62
2 Cremonese 28 15 8 5 +18 53
3 Como 28 15 7 6 +9 52
4 Venezia 28 15 6 7 +16 51
5 Catanzaro 28 14 6 8 +9 48
6 Palermo 28 13 7 8 +13 46
7 Brescia 29 9 11 9 +2 38
8 Cittadella 29 10 7 12 -5 37
9 Sampdoria 28 10 6 12 -5 36
10 Modena 29 8 12 9 -5 36
11 Sudtirol 29 9 8 12 -3 35
12 Pisa 28 8 10 10 -1 34
13 Cosenza 29 8 10 11 -1 34
14 Bari 28 7 13 8 -5 34
15 Reggiana 28 6 15 7 -3 33
16 Spezia 29 6 12 11 -14 30
17 Ternana 28 7 8 13 -5 29
18 Ascoli 28 6 10 12 -6 28
19 FeralpiSalo 29 7 6 16 -14 27
20 Lecco 28 5 6 17 -26 21

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Pisa Ternana
Marius Marin 🟨
41′
42′
🟨 Andrea Favilli
Half-time 0–0
M. Valoti 🔁
↦ L. Tramoni
46′
P. Beruatto 🔁
↦ A. Calabresi
61′
M. D'Alessandro 🔁
↦ A. Arena
61′
69′
🔁 A. Raimondo
↦ G. Pereiro
78′
🔁 F. Distefano
↦ A. Favilli
79′
🔁 J. Łabojko
↦ N. Pyyhtiä
Miguel Veloso 🔁
↦ Tomás Esteves
81′
1–0 S. Moreo
Miguel Veloso
89′
90′
🔁 F. Dionisi
↦ F. Carboni
94′
🟨 Filippo Sgarbi
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Pisa

3-4-2-1
22 L. Loria G
33 A. Calabresi D
4 A. Caracciolo D
5 S. Canestrelli D
7 L. Tramoni M
8 M. Marin M
19 Tomás Esteves M
42 T. Barbieri M
28 A. Arena F
15 I. Touré F
32 S. Moreo F
Bench (12)
27 M. Valoti
20 P. Beruatto
77 M. D'Alessandro
44 Miguel Veloso
1 Nícolas
26 G. Masucci
6 H. Hermannsson
3 M. Leverbe
30 A. De Vitis
36 G. Piccinini
17 J. Mlakar
16 M. Sala

Coach: A. Aquilani

Ternana

3-1-4-2
1 A. Iannarilli G
32 F. Sgarbi D
19 M. Capuano D
44 L. Lucchesi D
72 L. Amatucci M
15 T. Casasola M
71 G. Luperini M
66 N. Pyyhtiä M
79 F. Carboni M
10 G. Pereiro F
17 A. Favilli F
Bench (12)
9 A. Raimondo
28 F. Distefano
25 J. Łabojko
65 F. Dionisi
22 D. Franchi
11 J. Żuberek
16 G. Faticanti
4 F. Sørensen
73 A. Mărginean
6 C. Dalle Mura
5 G. Boloca
27 C. Favasuli

Coach: R. Breda

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,86
U
3,49
B
4,17
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,00
U2,5 ✓
1,79
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

A Giua · 80 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,5 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.