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Ligue 2
Referee: G Paradis
Amiens
U T U U U
1–1
Full-time
Rodez
T U S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Amiens Rodez
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
0%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
1,5
2,3
Scored
0,7
1,3
Conceded
0,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,3
This season — Ligue 2 · 27/27 matches
Win Ø 35%
33%
37%
Points per game
1,4
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 43%
22%
63%
Both score Ø 54%
37%
70%
Average goals
1,7
3,0
Scored
0,8
1,6
Conceded
0,9
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,1
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

53% Possession 47%
16 Shots 9
3 Shots on target 2
6 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
7 Corners 4
4 Offside 2
15 Free kicks against 12
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Amiens 9. · Rodez 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Auxerre 28 14 10 4 +24 52
2 Angers 27 15 4 8 +12 49
3 St Etienne 28 13 6 9 +9 45
4 Laval 27 12 9 6 +5 45
5 Caen 27 12 6 9 +4 42
6 Grenoble 27 10 10 7 +7 40
7 Rodez 27 10 9 8 +5 39
8 Ajaccio 27 10 8 9 -1 38
9 Amiens 27 9 11 7 -3 38
10 Pau FC 27 9 10 8 -1 37
11 Bordeaux 27 10 7 10 -3 37
12 Guingamp 27 9 9 9 +2 36
13 Paris FC 27 9 9 9 +1 36
14 Bastia 27 9 7 11 -2 34
15 Concarneau 27 9 6 12 -7 33
16 Troyes 27 7 10 10 -5 31
17 Dunkerque 27 8 7 12 -13 31
18 Quevilly Rouen 27 5 11 11 -3 26
19 Annecy 27 5 9 13 -11 24
20 Valenciennes 27 2 10 15 -20 16

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Amiens Rodez
Louis Mafouta 🟨
33′
35′
B. Danger 0–1
1–1 L. Mafouta
A. Léautey
43′
Half-time 1–1
Sébastien Corchia 🟨
59′
65′
🟨 Serge-Philippe Raux-Yao
J. Lahne 🔁
↦ M. Chouiar
69′
74′
🔁 A. Abdallah
↦ R. Lipinski
Y. Assogba 🔁
↦ S. Corchia
75′
A. Carroll 🔁
↦ R. Lutin
75′
75′
🔁 A. Ngouyamsa
↦ D. Sylla
75′
🔁 W. Younoussa
↦ W. Taïbi
81′
🔁 T. Arconte
↦ A. Hountondji
A. Ouhatti 🔁
↦ O. Géne
86′
Frank Boya 🟨
90′
90′
🔁 Y. Verdier
↦ L. Rajot
97′
🟨 Serge-Philippe Raux-Yao
97′
🟥 Serge-Philippe Raux-Yao
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Amiens

4-1-4-1
1 R. Gurtner G
14 S. Corchia D
13 M. Jaouab D
2 Mamadou Fofana I D
26 A. Amraoui D
29 F. Boya M
7 A. Léautey M
27 R. Lutin M
25 O. Géne M
17 M. Chouiar M
9 L. Mafouta F
Bench (7)
37 J. Lahne
15 Y. Assogba
99 A. Carroll
55 A. Ouhatti
4 N. Opoku
16 A. Sauvage
11 M. Do Couto

Coach: O. Daf

Rodez

3-5-2
1 S. Cibois G
5 K. Boma D
15 S. Raux-Yao D
14 B. Danger D
11 D. Sylla M
24 G. Haag M
8 L. Rajot M
10 W. Taïbi M
3 R. Lipinski M
17 A. Hountondji F
12 K. Corredor F
Bench (7)
28 A. Abdallah
6 A. Ngouyamsa
7 W. Younoussa
22 T. Arconte
26 Y. Verdier
4 S. Mambo
30 E. Crombez

Coach: D. Santini

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,48
U ✓
3,14
B
2,89
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,16
U2,5 ✓
1,67
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

G Paradis · 82 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
27,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,35 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.